this post was submitted on 12 Jan 2024
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Basically just the title. With DVDs getting tossed to the wind it made me wonder when will blu-rays go? I'm gonna miss bloopers and extra scenes

Edit: A bit confused but the general consensus is that in some areas BRs have already began to be phased out while in others they're just trucking along perfectly fine. It'll be that way until they stop being profitable to the studios who make them. Is that correct? I don't think the 8k argument is valid imo since that's really niche currently.

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[–] [email protected] 80 points 10 months ago (4 children)

I foresee them making a comeback as more and more people realize that streaming services are terrible.

[–] taladar 22 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Media-bound formats are even more terrible though. File-based ones are much superior for longevity.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Agree that video files burned on blu ray would be ideal :D

Jokes aside: physical, unchangeable media do make sense imo.

[–] taladar 6 points 10 months ago (4 children)

Apart from the "advantage" for the vendor in copy protection, where do physical, unchangeable media make sense? Particularly in terms of long-term use of the data on there. That basically ties the lifetime of the data to the lifetime of the physical object and also prevents backups.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

But the people who release BRs are either the same people selling streaming subscriptions, or will be bought up by them. For example, Disney is no longer releasing BRs anymore.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

Yo ho, yo ho, a pirate’s life for me.

Unless I can buy a BluRay, I’m not paying for a movie.

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Keep your physical media. Don't be Charlie Brown assuming the football will be there every time.

[–] [email protected] 28 points 10 months ago

Better yet, digitally back up your physical media in multiple locations because no media lasts forever, especially optical Media.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 months ago (4 children)

There are problems with physical medium as well. My father and I enjoy physical CDs, in my opinion they are the best. Yet my father's collection is over 20 years old so disks are degrading. My collection was destroyed during a house break in, they threw them on the floor and stomped on them, fucking hooligans. So I stopped with physical media such as CDs due to this

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[–] [email protected] 30 points 10 months ago (10 children)

BluRay has evolved a few times since being released. The storage capacity keeps going up, which allows for 4K & 3D discs to be made.

DVD got replaced because it couldn't hit the 1K mark. There was SuperBit DVDs, but they didn't catch on. The picture size was still limited to 720p.

BluRay still has a lot of life left in it. It will be a long time before the market demands 8K recordings. And will there even be physical media for movies and TV by then?

[–] taladar 11 points 10 months ago

On the other hand BluRay really came too late to become popular as a data storage medium. Outside movie enthusiasts there aren't really a lot of users of the format so player hardware will likely not benefit from corporate customers as much to extend its lifetime.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago

DVDs were also commonly used as external data storage prior to flash storage becoming the predominant method. Anyone still have their spindle of dvds with a Win XP backup lying around?

Blu-ray doesn't have that advantage. The only major commercial applications it has been used for is movies and games, and games are already breeching the size that even a 4k blu-ray can hold, and have long since required faster data transfer speeds than blu-ray is capable of(this is why even with physical games, the game has to be installed to the console)

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Why not just put the movies on a SD card? The price is similar and the card is smaller. That's what games do now, right?

[–] [email protected] 12 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Retention, or the lack thereof, when cold-stored.

In term of SD or standard NAND, not even Nintendo does that. Nintendo builds Macronix XtraROM in their Game Card, which is some proprietary Flash memory with claimed 20 year cold storage retention. And they introduced the 64 GB version only after a lengthy delay, in 2020. So it seems that the (lack of) cold storage performance of standard NAND Flash is viewed by some in the industry as not ready for prime time. Macronix discussed it many years back in a DigiTimes article: https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20120713PR201.html.

And Sony and Microsoft are both still building Blu-ray-based consoles.

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[–] [email protected] 28 points 10 months ago (1 children)

They are coming back like vinyl. Zoomers are realizing streaming plarforms can pull the plug

[–] [email protected] 8 points 10 months ago (8 children)

It occurs to me that I could totally put a short movie on a vinyl record. It would display "buffering" for quite a while though.

[–] prole 12 points 10 months ago (2 children)

The concept of vinyl still blows my mind... The fact that you can recreate every possible combination of sounds and etch it in grooves on a thin piece of plastic, then you can drag a needle across those grooves to hear the sound combinations again...

How does a person even create something like that? It's mind blowing.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Vinyl does have significant limitations in what sound it can produce, especially in terms of dynamic range. Wikipedia has a good breakdown of analog vs digital recording.

While digital is not perfect, it’s generally better in every regard that humans can physically perceive. That said, people will always romanticize physical things of the past, be it confirmation bias, survivorship bias of good examples, or just enjoying the ritual of physical interacting with a thing.

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[–] [email protected] 27 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I'm eagerly awaiting the demise of Blu-Ray so I can finally get use of my HD-DVD player.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Nah, HD-VMD is gonna make a big comeback I tell ya

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 months ago (2 children)

How about those Universal Media Discs (UMDs) used on everything from the PlayStation Portable to the PlayStation Portable

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

Nah, you haven't experienced shrek until you've seen it the way it was intended: on the GBA.

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 10 months ago

From where I sit physical media is experiencing a huge surge in popularity. So I think bluray is here to stay, and will see more usage in the coming years.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 10 months ago

They are hardly anywhere now.. Best Buy is phasing out their remaining physical movie sections this year.

[–] Philo 14 points 10 months ago (1 children)

You just made me notice that my laptop doesn't even have a DVD.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago

It's why god invented external drives. :)

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I'm going to assume you understand the most basic principals of our mode of production, so I'll give you an educated guess as to when, not why, since that's the question you asked.

In 2034, if we follow the DVD timeline. However if it's the only remaining physical media used by distributors, I'd guess it lasts decades longer.

I hope we graduate (or revert, depending on how you look at it) to tape, as collectors would be better off with a medium that's built to last.

[–] Habahnow 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Why do you say Blu ray isn't made to last compared to tape? I would think it was the reverse

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 months ago

Oh, you're right. I looked it up and some of these archival blu-rays are claiming they can outlast tape, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M-DISC

Now I'm going to have to look at what an M-DISC burner would cost and compare it to my aws glacier bill.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 months ago

Yesterday I was happy to own lots of Blurays because my internet was down.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

The problem is that the market isn't there to phase them out. Streaming and digital purchases have filled in most of the consumer demand that physical media would. There may not be the market for a Blu-ray replacement the same way there was for DvD.

There is also the question of whether optical media would be the preferred medium. An SD Card may be preferred over an optical drive, especially as it is more space efficient in a lot of different types of devices.

[–] southsamurai 6 points 10 months ago

Well, there's the ultra-hd bluray that seems to be trucking along fine, and regular bluray is still chugging along well enough for studios to be releasing them.

But, they'll get phased out either right beetle before they start failing to make profit, and/or when the various entities of the movie industry figure out a way to force people into their streaming services. Now, I don't see them making laws happen that require us to subscribe, but it is possible that they could manage to shut down enough alternatives that a majority of people that are convinced they need access to shows and movies to get through life that there's no other way. At which point, the final nail would be eradicating new physical media.

But, as long as they can make profit from both physical and streamed media, they'll keep milking them both.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago

Not until there's an 8K standard and 8K players.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago

It's well on its way there already. Many large stores are already choosing not to sell them (Best Buy, you suck). I will always purchase the Blu-Rays though as long as I can. I would never trust my movie collection to the studios or streaming services.

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