Man, they buried the answer:
"Across a thousand runs, the model cranked through the temperature data and settled on a year. Sometimes the model spat out later dates. Sometimes earlier. The two scientists made a plot of the numbers and a neat cluster emerged. Yes—2057. But that’s just the middle point: In 95 percent of the model’s simulations, the AMOC tipped sometime between 2025 and 2095."
Map showing the reported illnesses here, all East coast and Midwest.
https://www.cdc.gov/listeria/outbreaks/delimeats-7-24/map.html