this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2024
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NonCredibleDefense

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[–] sbv 3 points 6 months ago (3 children)

I wish we could deescalate this conflict because it benefits NOBODY.

/uj

  • China benefits because they have an enemy that plays well to a domestic audience
  • China would benefit if it could get TSMC's foundries undamaged;
  • US benefits because Taiwan wants a big buddy to keep it safe, so they're forced into a de facto alliance
  • US benefits because it has somewhere to park warships off China's shores

/rj MIC goes brrrrrrrrrr

[–] [email protected] 10 points 6 months ago (1 children)

China would benefit if it could get TSMC’s foundries undamaged;

tsmc has already said they've installed kill switches on these.

as for the rest, meh. relations have been better and worse in the past.

[–] sbv 1 points 6 months ago (2 children)

tsmc has already said they've installed kill switches on these.

They'd be the first target if/when open hostilities break out. c/ncd loves to shit on the PLA, but I bet this is something they'd try to get right.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 months ago

a button (or cron job) work at the speed of light.

good luck sneaking your invasion fleet across without anyone noticing.

TSMC and Taiwan have been expecting this.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 months ago (1 children)

"Target" how? Blowing up TSMC isn't what they want. China would need to establish air superiority first for any land invasion to succeed, which means Taiwan has plenty of time to pull the trigger on the kill switches.

[–] sbv 2 points 6 months ago

If I was Winnie the Pooh, I'd pay Owl to go under deep cover for years to get control over the switches, or Kanga to make sure the Switch Master is indisposed when a military assault begins, or Eeyore to physically disable the switches before the attack. Winnie the Pooh has lots of options.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Other than TSMC, those are good reasons to keep pretending an invasion is imminent any day now. Nobody benefits from actually starting that war, except for ideological reasons.

[–] ZwoofBlaf 2 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

True but ideological reasons seem to be a big driving force for Xi Jinping. More so than his predecessors.

I don't think China has any claim to Taiwan, they never even owned it that long. If the only reason is that it used to belong to them at some point in the past, then well, the Dutch and Japanese have a valid claim too. But they are independent now and that has been the status quo for 70 years. They deserve to be free.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

If the only reason is that it used to belong to them at some point in the past. England would be rubbing their hands right now.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

There is no fucking way they're getting the factories undamaged. If it was certain they're lost, there will be a family of hypersonic missiles en route to level them