this post was submitted on 29 Nov 2024
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Basically title. I'm a digital artist in the USA and not rich by any stretch. In fact, somewhat in debt. (Aren't we all.)

I also try really hard to not be a mindless consumer. I use old equipment as long as I can, repair, refurbish, etc...

All this talk of upcoming tariffs has me worried that, rather than being able to get a day-job at newly opened US manufacturing for electronics or something, I'll instead be paying +60% more on like everything.

I know tech is a depreciating asset, but should I try to upgrade now to hold out for the next ~5 years or so?

I was considering hunting down a motherboard/cpu/RAM combo for instance.

Are worries about tariffs overblown? Trying to figure out how to prepare as best I can with my meager resources before everything just...keeps getting worse.

I am getting paid for my digital art, it's not living money though. My spouse has a more stable income that enables me to keep trying.

Thanks in advance. <3

EDIT: Thanks a ton for all the helpful replies! I'm glad I'm not being overly paranoid.

Some of you have asked for system specs so here they are for the curious:

System Specs:

  • OS: OpenSUSE Tumbleweed
  • Mobo: Z590 Aorus Elite AX
  • CPU: i7-10700k @ 5.1 Ghz
  • GPU: Nvidia RTX 3090
  • Mem: 32GB DDR4 (forget the speed...3000?)

I want to be clear: I don't mean to sound too panicked and I'm more than happy to be content with what I have and see my blessings for what they are.

However, as I'm trying to break into being a 3D Blender artist and gamedev professionally, I'm trying to strategize whether standards will significantly increase and leave me behind in the next 5 years or so. (Game industry, not trying to do Hollywood VFX models on my home rig or anything lol)

I don't game so much these days unfortunately. And if I do, like 5% of my library is particularly demanding. πŸ˜‚

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 22 hours ago

I determined that it would be an issue and upgraded. I've needed to anyway

[–] Rekorse 17 points 1 day ago (2 children)

If you buy used stuff already, you won't run into tarriffed goods for a while after they are implemented. Not sure what thats worth though.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Yeah, but the new market's process could be warped so much from tariffs that it affects the used market.

[–] Rekorse 1 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago) (1 children)

Thats true but this is also happening at the same time Microsoft is bricking a ton of older hardware for their windows 11 push.

I think thats going to have a larger effect on the used market, and will push prices down.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Speaking of bricking hardware. I'm very upset that they're just dumping Windows Mixed Reality because it isn't making them 10,000% returns or something.

Lots of wonderful HMDs will just be paperweights without a ton of work.

"Can you release the code to us to keep em running then?"

M$: "Lol no."

If anything, maybe we'll see a lot of good hardware going for cheap, ripe for the taking by anybody who knows how to use a boot USB and doesn't care about TPM. :)

[–] Rekorse 1 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago) (1 children)

Yeah I imagine most those computers will just become "linux" computers by default.

Its interesting you mention the hardware side of VR, I hadn't considered it since my biggest gripe is that each headset plus pcvr is siloed off for a specific device. There might be enough games to sustain VR if there was a single marketplace for it, and all headsets were designed around that.

I think right now each company still thinks they can be that single marketplace, so theres too many chefs in the kitchen.

Is microsoft actually bricking their WMD headsets or just not supporting them anymore? Could you still treat it as a retro gaming console?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 12 hours ago

There's an effort called Monado that's making strides, but we hope there's a sustained interest and a breakthrough of some sort. The controllers are no-go at the moment.

Is microsoft actually bricking their WMD headsets or just not supporting them anymore? Could you still treat it as a retro gaming console?

So they're not literally "bricking them", but effectively doing so. They require "Windows Mixed Reality" to run, all the drivers are proprietary, and M$ is "deprecating WMR", at which point it will no longer be offered, and will be taken down from the Microsoft Store.

So basically you'd require an un-updated Windows 10 machine that previously had it installed, or else the device is a paperweight.

They can't even pretend to have any kind of "environmental responsibility" when they're actively just creating tons of e-waste as a matter of policy.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 day ago

Tis computes

[–] [email protected] 3 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

Used hardware is crazy cheap. You can get a tower with 16gb memory, 8th or 9th gen processors, ssd storage for like 200$. Workstations are also super cheap if doing 3D modeling.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

I know it's not completely rational but the one thing I don't trust is used drives.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Honestly that's pretty fair. Depending on the nature of the drive. You don't know if it was sitting there spinning up and down in some mining rig (that one crypto used HDDs to store hashes) sitting on somebody's washing machine or something LOL.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

I never really trust used HDD's with anything I care a lot about. I'm either backing it up on the cloud or storing it on an SSD. Used HDDs are still decently useful if you get them cheap and crystal disk reports they are good.

SSD's fail much more predictable so even if its got a decent amount of run time and a couple dead sectors I have an OK amount of. Havent worked computers for a while, but if I remember, SSDs kind of burn out like a wick, bit by bit more clusters/sectors fail until the drive slowly becomes unusable.

SSDs have gotten so cheap new I'd probably just buy a new one if the old one isn't already in tip top condition

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

Haha really? That's interesting, I always heard it was the opposite. HDDs might slowly develop problems and if you're lucky you'll have time to move everything over before it kicks the bucket.

But SSDs will one day just fail.

Maybe the actual cause of the failure has to do with it?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 hour ago

HDDs are a lot more complicated with a ton of components and moving parts. You can measure and predict the wear on the disks, but not really anything else. Parts like the main motor, read head, secondary motor can fail suddenly. Theres also other stuff that wears down like springs, bearings, ribbon cables, lubricant, etc. The logic board on HDDs are also super complicated, since it has to do a lot. It has to control the brushless DC motor, which requires a complicated driver, control the read head motor, and a ton of other stuff. look online and compare the logic board of an HDD to an NVME and it's a miracle HDDs stayed relevant for so long.

It comes down to simplicity, SSDs just have so many fewer components that can break.

[–] [email protected] 89 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Regardless of whether or not the tariff increases happen, Black Friday sales are going on right now, and depending on what stores are near you (namely Micro Center), you could find some good deals. Just make sure you check price history on anything you're looking at (if you're able) to ensure it's actually a deal.

[–] [email protected] 34 points 1 day ago

This is the biggest one. I use Keepa for things, and I've heard other people suggest camelcamelcamel. Always check the pricing history first, don't get sucked into the "Save money!" trap. You're not saving anything if you wouldn't have bought the item in the first place.

[–] [email protected] 79 points 1 day ago

Unless Trump has a stroke it's very likely that the cost of electronics will go up significantly. And with corporate price gouging, I would expect they'll stay higher even if the tariffs are lifted.

It's black Friday. Probably no time like the present to get things you think you'll be buying in the next few years anyway.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I'd say that unless you absolutely need to upgrade, don't do it and set it aside to save the money. Money is going to get very tight soon for a lot of essential goods, so having it ready is a good idea for prep. If you never need to dip into it and manage to save some, then it's possible that you can upgrade later.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago

Yep. But invest them cash in safe real assets, since inflation might skyrocket.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 1 day ago (8 children)

In addition to electronics going up, there’s also the looming End of Life for a lot of older computers because of Windows 10 going end of life/support, and windows 11 having some strict security hardware requirements.

This is going to impact businesses. They are going to gobble up the market. The threat of tariffs has already started some panic buying.

We’re going to see computer prices go up in 2025-2026.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Better switch to Linux sooner than later.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago)

Oh believe me I'm already there. I just made the jump to start gaming on OpenSUSE Tumbleweed after using it primarily for art and dev, and 99% of what I care about runs beautifully. While the world around us seems in constant chaos...

... we're living in a great age of open source for those who seek it. :)

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Unless you're in the market for old shit

[–] [email protected] 5 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Just bought "old shit" 7th gen and 8th gen intel PC's, complete, for 350, with gtx1080 cards. These are still pretty good. My own pc is a 7th gen intel with a 1060 and it still does everything I want with ease. It never feels slow, except for, of course, the latest games. Which I can now run on the PC's with the 1080. I wanted to bridge a gap and found these are actually very capable for anything I throw at it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 16 hours ago

That old shit is better than my current old shit so I'm licking my shit chops ready to upgrade my shit

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Heh maybe this will push Microsoft to extend support. No one can afford new computers.

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 day ago (2 children)

When has he ever followed through on a promise?

[–] [email protected] 19 points 20 hours ago

Given he put tariffs in place his prior term, good chance he actually does it again.

Things that can be done via executive order are highly likely ... Because one of his staff will draft it and he'll sign based on what they tell him it's about.

Some lackey: "this is that tariff thing".

Actual EO: contains whatever

[–] [email protected] 32 points 1 day ago (2 children)

He said he would get roe vs Wade over turned

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[–] [email protected] 26 points 1 day ago

Basically plan to pinch pennies for at least the next four years.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I say upgrade. The tariffs he's most likely to back off on are food and oil. High tech from Asia is last on the list.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 day ago

The tariffs will have to be paid by someone, and distributors will not take a hit on account of the idiot pumpkin, so it will be shifted to the end user.

Right now is a pretty good time to upgrade. Both Intel and AMD have shown their hands in the CPU market and I can personally attest to the performance of AMD's X3D CPUs. Older models with the AM4 socket will become cheaper, and AM4 motherboards are plentiful.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 1 day ago (6 children)

For as much as everyone is saying to buy now out of economic fear, I wouldn't say they are wrong, but there are several steps that will have to happen first. Tarrifs must be congressional approved first. That means the bill must be presented, debated on, voted on, then signed. I would start to worry a little when we see the bill presented, but even then if he presents some insane ranting that everyone knows will kneecap the economy for the rich, then it won't go through and I wouldn't worry. But if he lets his economic hit men write it and it is airtight, targeted, and specifically- then I would be buying my computer parts before the effective date hits for the reasons people are saying.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Tarrifs must be congressional approved first.

Well it's a good thing that Trump bootlickers control both houses of congress as well as the courts they might be challenged in.

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[–] Mushroomm 12 points 1 day ago

Except they'll jack prices anyway then if the tariffs don't stick they will say it was a precautionary cushion against potential tariffs while collecting the profits.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 day ago

Tarrifs must be congressional approved first. That means the bill must be presented, debated on, voted on, then signed.

Unless Congress has already given the president that authority.

In early 2018 President Trump imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. This law states that the president can raise tariffs on imports that pose a threat to national security. Section 232 allows the President to implement these tariffs without the approval of Congress, following an investigation by the Department of Commerce. The Commerce Department has noted that threats to national security may include β€œfostering U.S. dependence on unreliable or unsafe imports” or β€œfundamentally threatening the ability of U.S. domestic industries to satisfy national security needs.”1

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 day ago

You're assuming that the tariffs exist in a vacuum. They do not.

As soon as vendors feel they can blame Trump/tariffs/whatever and not lose income, they will raise prices. Their costs don't need to actually go up - and if called out, they can say they're just responding to the uncertainty or whatever.

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