In what world does it make sense for Ukraine to do that?
this post was submitted on 05 Jul 2023
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Projection from russian side, and they know it. They'll try to do it either way, I just hope they fail.
They have absolutely nothing to gain from it though.
The amount of intel the west has is gargantuan and if the US and/or NATO even suspected the Ukrainians of doing it the backlash would be enormous.
Ukraine has everything to gain by playing with open cards and moving in our direction, even if it costs them.
Remember the AA missile landing in Poland last year?
As soon as investigations showed it could be their own fault, they apologized profusely.
That nuclear power plant is going to be blown up. Buy iodine pills and enjoy milk now while you can.
So that is the play? Blow up your own people and blame it on Ukraine?
That is the MO of Russia and Putin in particular. He already did that with the dam and Nordstream. And of course it was also how Putin started the second Chechen war with the 1999 apartment bombings in Moscow.
One interesting theory I read is that the deliberate destruction of the plant would be a way to escalate close enough to the use of nuclear weapons to intimidate Ukraine and its supporters while retaining enough ambiguity that parties disinclined to retaliate could refuse to do so based on the pretense that Russia was not responsible.