this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2023
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Do they actually allow the horses to run to exhaustion in the heat?
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No, there are mandatory vet checks that can last large amounts of time that are deducted from all horses time. So the cold/heat makes a negligible difference, the horses get long rest periods either way and have historically often won even in years where it was very hot.
It's not a negligible difference. The race results for that specific race are correlated with temperature during the race. The horses naturally hold back on their speed when it's hot out, to prevent running to exhaustion. This is borne out by statistical results comparing speeds for horse races generally, not just the human versus horse race.
Note that horses generally are much faster than humans, even over distance, so the trend lines wouldn't cross unless very hot, to where it would literally be dangerous for either species to be running.