this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago

They must be planning to ask for an extension.

Their manifest on Wikipedia lists this for the rest of the year, with x sats on board each (I'm rounding up and assuming multiples of 9):

  • Atlas V, 27 (today)

  • Falcon 9, 27

  • Atlas V, 27

  • Vulcan, 45

  • Ariane 6, 36

And no planned New Glenn launch until next 2026. Other than the Vulcan, I could see those launches happening. There's just no way they hit the 50% mark next year. No way.