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Russia could start a major war in Europe within 5 years, Danish intelligence warns (www.politico.eu)

submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Summary

Denmark’s Defense Intelligence Service warns that Russia could launch a large-scale war in Europe within five years if NATO appears weak or divided, especially if the U.S. does not intervene.

The report outlines a timeline where Russia could attack a neighboring country within six months, escalate to a regional Baltic conflict in two years, and potentially engage NATO-wide by 2029.

The assessment comes as Trump pressures NATO members to increase defense spending and has suggested the U.S. might not defend allies who fail to meet financial commitments.

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Unfortunately, if they could foresee the consequences of their own actions, the war in Ukraine wouldn't even have started

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 week ago (2 children)

TBH it's still early for evaluating consequences - it might still prove beneficial for Russia, especially with orange in chief.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago

Anything less than total victory will lead to economic collapse for Russia and at this point it's pretty much impossible even with Trump in office. They are cooked in any case.

[–] freebee 7 points 1 week ago (1 children)

They wasted hundreds of thousands in the meat grinder... The final outcome would have to be absolutely massive in favour of Russia for it to still be beneficial. Unlikely.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Depends on the perspective. To Putin it's not a problem, for him people are expandable and cheap. You just write some laws and they grow again in his view. As the land grab is forever. Your and mine views are non-dictatorish and as such don't apply to Russian imperialism.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Hey, it's just a quick special military operation to Kyiv, in and out in three days! Surely nothing can go wrong.

IIRC there was talk after it went south that the yes-men around Putin had made him believe that not only would Ukraine not fight back, but the people would join the Russian troops in celebration for being "liberated" and help them, and that's why they didn't even think that failure was a possibility.