this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2024
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[–] [email protected] -5 points 4 months ago (1 children)

They both need to step aside, it's better to have an unknown than a known candidate that people don't like.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 4 months ago (4 children)

Can you show an election where that strategy has worked this late in the game?

[–] xmunk 19 points 4 months ago (3 children)

Yea, pretty much every election up here in Canada.

I'm amazed that Americans think four months "is like literally no time".

It'd take an ad spend but the DNC could name recognition pretty much anyone at this point.

[–] Peppycito 4 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

The elections are short, but we've known the candidates a long time. De Dluca was elected leader shortly before the election and no one knew who he was and he totally tanked.

*see, I even got his name wrong. Del Duca.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Doug got in to replace Patrick Brown pretty late in the game after CTV reported that Brown was a creep with young (but later turned out to be legal age) women at bars in Barrie and a snap leadership race stuck us with him. I just looked it up again and he was leader for about three months before the Provincial election, Del Duca was around for two years.

[–] Peppycito 2 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Name recognition with Doug was incredibly high. To this day, who the hell is Del Duca anyway?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

Mayor of Vaughan but I get your point

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago

You don't elect a chief executive in Canada the way we do in the U.S.

You can't compare a parliamentary election to our constitutional presidential republic's elections.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 4 months ago

*4 weeks, bud

The convention is in 4 weeks. Mail-in-ballots get sent out at the end of September.

There's a lot of misinformation being shared due to the lack of proper context. Yes, the election is in November but it's not that simple

Honestly, if we ever think something is simple, we should pretty much assume we don't know wtf we're talking about

[–] [email protected] 8 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Can you show an election where that strategy has worked this late in the game?

To my knowledge the President and vice President haven't stepped down from a political campaign. However, I can point to a situation in which a vice president took over for an unpopular president and lost. That would be Hubert Humphrey in 1968.

Additionally, just based on logic alone, it is ridiculous to insinuate that it wouldn't be better to have an unknown candidate than a disliked candidate.

How could it be better to have a candidate that voters do not like, over a candidate that they haven't come to an opinion on yet?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

but they could be anyone, even worse candidate!

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

That would be tough, at this point in the calendar the only incumbent presidential candidates with a lower net job approval than Joe Biden were George HW Bush and Jimmy Carter. Both of whom lost the election. Trump was a few points better in 2020, he also lost.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago (2 children)

can you show an election where somebody in the polling position of biden has come back to win it?

non-us election cycles are shorter than the time that's left i don't think it's an impossible hurdle

[–] [email protected] 14 points 4 months ago (2 children)

I don't have to show evidence for a claim I did not make.

You, however, made this claim: it’s better to have an unknown than a known candidate that people don’t like.

Can you back it up with evidence or not?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 4 months ago (1 children)

i think it's weird that you think you're allowed to infer claims from my position but that i'm not allowed to infer claims from yours

[–] [email protected] 6 points 4 months ago (1 children)

I didn't infer anything. You made a direct claim that you aren't backing up. I quoted it. I have made no claims.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 months ago (2 children)

you didn't quote anything?

please could you quote the exact words you believe i used to express "it’s better to have an unknown than a known candidate that people don’t like."?

thank you

[–] [email protected] 9 points 4 months ago

that was the original statement Flying Squid was replying to before you joined in the thread, Squid just didn't seem to notice that you're not the same commenter.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 months ago (2 children)

the commenter you're replying to now isn't the one who made that claim, and for some reason they aren't speaking up to clarify that about themselves.

[–] Peppycito 6 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Maybe they flushed and went back to work. Or sleep. Or are back country camping.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago

flushed and went back to work.

😅

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

Sorry for having other things going on, it won't happen again.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

can you show an election

2016

[–] [email protected] -1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Its not, last time we did this Reagan won by a fucking landslide. I am very nervous but voting D.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 4 months ago (1 children)

In 1980, Reagan beat an unpopular incumbent, Carter, by a huge margin. In 1984, Reagan was the incumbent and crushed Walter Mondale. I'm not sure which one is the, "last time we did this" though.

If anything, Reagan shows us that unpopular incumbents do not have a high likelihood of reelection.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago (1 children)

So you didn't mean Reagan, you meant Nixon. But Nixon was the incumbent and at this point in the calendar had 58% job approval (Biden: 38.5%) and a net job approval of 26.9% (Biden: -17.7%). At this point in the calendar, Nixon was 44.6% higher in net job approval. Do you really think that's analogous?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago

What I mean is this is probably a bad idea. We did something similar and it was bad. But go for it. I'm voting D no matter who.