this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2023
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[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Russian soldiers seem to have been complaining about shortages for some time now. Just look at how the amount of shelling has gone down. They're sending T-55's to the front line now. Even the Kremlin will have to acknowledge the reality at some point I guess.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Do you have sources on the amount of shelling? Would be interesting to see

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 year ago

Sorry, I can't find it right now. I think it was a youtube video that I watched. However, there's this: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/01/10/politics/russian-artillery-fire-down-75-percent-ukraine/index.html , to be contrasted with this: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/11/7401786/ . My feeling from following the conflict at liveuamap.com is that shelling has decreased somewhat over time.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 1 year ago

Ukrainian soldiers are also complaining about lack of ammunition and are fielding. T-55s. While Russia has a much larger geographical and raw resource base to rely on to build new Equipment, Ukraine does not have that luxury (but does have western support). So if Putins statements about increasing production of military equipment 3x-10x are accurate projections, I can see why they still think they can keep going.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (3 children)

It has been evident from the start, but it must be really bad now that hes admitting it. We've seen LPR/DNR forces using Mosins for a while now.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

"Your sons' war, fought with your grandfathers' rifles."

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

yeah russia is for sure toast this time

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

and then China is going to collapse next

[–] sinkingship 1 points 1 year ago

it must be really bad now that hes admitting it.

I was thinking quite differently about this. Now that the Ukrainian counter offensive started, wouldn't it be in Russia's interest for opposing forces to underestimate Russia's military strength?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

So, what's the over/under that when they get low enough they'll trot out nukes?

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago

I would assume that like North Korea nukes are only useful if not used. Once those weapons are used (if they are in a state to be used) there is nothing keeping Russia viable as an independent state. It would be the starting gun for a larger conflict as no nation with any ability will let even the smallest nukes to be set off without a response. Those weapons are doing their job only if not fired and might be the only "red line" this war truly has.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Under 0.5 nukes used: 1/1000000000 Over 0.5 nukes used: 1000000000/1

No-one, not even Russia, is going to cross that line. This is a regional conflict with casualties in the tens of thousands. WW3 was a global conflict with casualties in the tens of millions.