this post was submitted on 09 Sep 2023
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A recent preprint paper examines the minimum number of people required to maintain a feasible settlement on Mars while accounting for psychological and behavioral factors, specifically in emergency situations. This study was conducted by a team of data scientists from George Mason University and holds the potential to help researchers better understand the appropriate conditions …

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[–] [email protected] 125 points 11 months ago (4 children)

I saw a documentary about this - you actually only need one person as long as they like eating potatoes

[–] [email protected] 27 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Are you talking about pirate Mark Watney?

[–] [email protected] 19 points 11 months ago

Space pirate!

[–] [email protected] 13 points 11 months ago
[–] [email protected] 12 points 11 months ago (1 children)

An old volleyball will do in a pinch. But not for too long

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 4 points 11 months ago

Literally my calling.

[–] [email protected] 73 points 11 months ago (2 children)

“In the end, they determined that a minimum colony population of 22 agents was ideal to maintain a feasible Mars mining colony over the long-term.”

[–] [email protected] 20 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Until one of them is The Thing.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I always confused "The Thing" with the character from Fantastic Four. And never understood why people were afraid of a rock person who shouts "It's clobbering time!"

[–] [email protected] 9 points 11 months ago

because they do not wish to be clobbered

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago

You can get it down to 21 if you call Black Jack.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Does that include the mad eco terrorist/saviour stow away who kick starts terra forming Mars then founds his own colony on the South Pole?

[–] [email protected] 26 points 11 months ago (3 children)

Yes, but that's four different people. One eco-terrorist, one stowaway, one terraforming fanatic, and one founder of a weird sex cult.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 11 months ago

Only if your not good at multitasking…

[–] [email protected] 4 points 11 months ago (1 children)

If the first mars colony isn't named Underhill I will riot

[–] vaultdweller013 1 points 11 months ago

Sorry it will be called, Ultor mining settlement one.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 11 months ago

Only one sex cult?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago

No Mars colony without a Coyote

[–] [email protected] 32 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Presumably some of them would have to be female, making a Mars colony settled entirely by muskies unviable.

[–] [email protected] 23 points 11 months ago

Unviable, but maybe still a net benefit for the rest of us

[–] [email protected] 23 points 11 months ago (3 children)

You want a colony consisting only of fanatics? Then 22 may be the number. It's going to be 22 very different types, and every one of them has to decide every day that this is going to last long...

If you want a colony consisting of normal people that lasts for long, then you need thousands. Humans need a lot diversity before they can be normal and stay healthy.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

Considering humanity was knocked down to about 1200 people about 800,000 years ago and we survived without any technology to speak of, let alone genetic testing that would help determine maximum diversity, I'd say you might be surprised.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 11 months ago

That assumes that everyone will be willing to have children with just about anyone, regardless of their personal opinion of them, and regardless of whether or not they even want children to begin with. You can't selectively breed humans without massive human rights violations.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago

many things were very different then.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

I recall a similar study years ago. They concluded 32 was minimal viable, assuming a strict breeding regiment over several generations, with 8 men and 24 women. They also concluded about 500 would be the smallest practical size, given people aren't robots and losing even a couple people before leaving the breeding pool would be very bad. That was a fundamentally different study though, looking at long term, self sufficiency. This one seems more focused on an Antarctica like outpost that would be able to cycle people in and out, and not establishing a full on colony.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago (4 children)

Antarctica like outpost that would be able to cycle people in and out, and not establishing a full on colony.

Thank you for pointing out this detail of possibly returning!

We might be able to travel to Mars in a few years. But it will take many more years before anybody can travel back from there.

Mars has a gravity similar to earth. In order to leave the planet we need to launch rockets from there, about the same size as we launch from earth. And therefore we need to build lots of stuff there and operate it properly.

The first 'colonists' will have to go with the expectation of never returning.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

It's not about building a local population on Mars that will populate the planet, it's about the bare minimum to operate an outpost with regular supply drops from earth and replacement personnel in case of fatalities.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 11 months ago (1 children)

They need Ice Cube incase there is a ghost on mars

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Uhm... I will need some context.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Not really. The whole joke is right there. Search for it.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago

Ah ok I haven't seen this movie.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 11 months ago

A rapper, a ghost huntman, and some frozen water walk into a bar

🧊

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I’m happy just putting Musk there.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago

Musk comes from Uranus though

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago (5 children)

We can't even look after earth. Why are we trying to colonise another planet??

[–] [email protected] 19 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Because we're going for mass effect instead of star trek

[–] [email protected] 13 points 11 months ago

Only if we find a convenient Mass Relay. Otherwise it's The Expanse for us.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago

Hell yeah space sex with sexy alien sexy sex sex

[–] [email protected] 8 points 11 months ago

I hate to be a hater but this is quite possibly the most depressing outlook on life there is. Its like saying "we cant even be proper hunter gathers. Why are me trying this farming thing". Is it not in human nature to climb one mountain just to look to the next?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

We can't even look after earth.

You seem to have answered your own question.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago (1 children)

There is nothing short of the moon falling to the Earth that can make Mars a more viable place for humans than the Earth.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago

Is that a challenge?

[–] Peppycito 2 points 11 months ago
[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago

Well that's a reason.

At the moment with current technology, colonising other planets in the solar system is unsustainable without a lot of effort from earth so I doubt anything will come out of it in the near term.

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