this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2025
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Germany is at a crossroads when it comes to its security policy — one of the deepest upheavals of the post-War era.

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[–] zqps 22 points 2 days ago

Hoffentlich bauen die Schwaben nie eine Atombombe, weil irgendein Minischderpräsident würde sagen "Etz ham mer se bezahlt, etz werf mer se au ab".

[–] [email protected] 122 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (6 children)

I just want to point out, that we are really talking about building nukes again in 2025.

[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Well, I'm not a big fan of nuclear proliferation but Ukraine gave up theirs and look what happened...
As long as we have imperialistic authoritarian world leaders, we will need ways to keep them at bay, and nuclear deterrence is probably the best one unfortunately...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

Yep. I'm really hoping we can build on the nuclear arsenals the non-US West has going already, though.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago (3 children)

I wonder if Putin would have bet on them not being used and attacked anyway.

Just like Putin has not used any nuke, there's a huge deterrent to use them at all.

I could definitely see Putin making calculated decisions like that.

Of course Ukraine would have had a stronger stand with them either way.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

There was a sincere risk of Russia using nuclear weapons earlier in the conflict, around the winter of 2022/2023 when the first major Russian mobilization of 600k failed to achieve the desired outcomes and the North Western front started to collapse. The released intelligence info put it at about 50/50.

This is why, at the time, the Biden administration made several clearly coded messages/announcements that nuclear weapons usage in Ukraine would result in an overwhelming conventional retaliation that would remove Russian military capability from the board. It's also part of the reason nations were so slow to provide advanced support capabilities. There was a fear (justified, imo) that immediately opening the floodgates and giving Ukraine tanks, jets, advanced missiles, and using those missiles to strike deep in Russian territory would result in usage of nuclear weapons. It still is a risk, honestly. If Ukraine started doing heavy damage to Moscow, there's a real chance Putin might decide to flip the table over rather than lose the game.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I must have missed that back then. Thank you for the context.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago

For sure, it wasn't super widely reported at the time. Nuclear weapons and foreign policy just happen to be "special interests" for me so I tend to follow things like that.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

How else are we gonna get that sweet pu238 for our deep space drones?

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[–] [email protected] 71 points 3 days ago (22 children)

Yes. The Budapest memo and the US strategic backflip has proved non nuclear powers are deeply at risk.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago

The war's been over for a while and they seem to have turned into decent people, but if you think it'll help... 🤷‍♂️

[–] [email protected] 37 points 3 days ago (6 children)

Everyone seems so willing to break the Non Proliferation Treaty nowadays, it's scary

[–] [email protected] 53 points 3 days ago

Non proliferation was possible because of nuclear security guarantees by the US. Those are now worthless.

[–] freebee 39 points 3 days ago

Pandora's box is open. Thanks Putin. Thanks Trump. EU can't do nothing... We're heading to more war and disorder either way. Not only more new nukes, also higher chances of them being used again which is even more scary.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 3 days ago (2 children)

No need to break it. The treaty can be left within 90 days after giving a notice with a reason. Given that building nuclear weapons takes some time, that seems very possible.

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 3 days ago (7 children)

Everyone seems so willing to break the Non Proliferation Treaty nowadays, it’s scary

Non-Proliferation is based on the promise of nuclear powers to defend those who don't have nukes. Since this promise is out of the window thanks to Trump, proliferation is the logical consequence.

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Most of the people who saw the results of Hiroshima and Nagasaki are dead. The people who grew up hiding under their school desks waiting for the bomb to drop are old.

The memory of the fear is fading.

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[–] [email protected] 25 points 3 days ago (4 children)

No. If anything, EU nukes could be something to consider. But I don't see why Germany specifically should have them. That might lead to calls for every other European country to get them too and that could just as easily be a security risk as an advantage, with single countries possibly "going rogue", like Hungary. In the hands of the EU they should be fairly safe.

[–] [email protected] 39 points 3 days ago (1 children)

EU nukes? Hungary would veto their use even if Russian missiles were raining down on European cities.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Well if the EU gets nukes i would imagine there would be a clause that allows for a return strike wihout voting and only a first strike being banned completely or require voting.

Since there are only minutes to launch a return strike voting over it is completely pointless.

[–] mutual_ayed 14 points 3 days ago

Member states already have mutual defense pacts that overrule any competing EU dictates in time of war.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_Security_and_Defence_Policy

So Hungary can veto whatever they want, but defensive actions will be taken regardless.

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[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (2 children)

The article advocates/answers with infrastructure should be prepared so it can be purposed if it should ever be necessary.

There is, however, a third option: nuclear hedging. In this model, a country does not develop nuclear weapons outright but instead builds the technological capacity to produce them if ever deemed necessary.

Most of the comments here seem to discuss the headline instead - whether it should equip.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago

Germany maintains the uranium enrichment plant and a the ability to turn that into nuclear fuel. That is what is needed to build a simple uranium based nuclear weapon.

That is why Germany set up nuclear power plants, as they were always meant to finance and develop those facilities. Since they are now esteblished there is no reason to keep the power plants around. They are of the wrong type anyway, as they produce very little plutonium, which is the other way of producing nuclear weapons. However Germany still has quite a few institutions being able to built nuclear reactors, if need be.

That is also why Germany was fine with US nuclear weapons. Nobody wanted to see Germany have nukes themself, but Germany. Hence that deal. However Germany always had very detailed plans to built nukes, if need be. We are talking about having nukes within a few months, if really pushed hard.

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[–] [email protected] 17 points 3 days ago (7 children)

I really would like that everybody who is proposing a german nuclear bomb would also explain where Germany should test its new bomb. Bavaria? Mecklenburg? Erzgebirge?

[–] [email protected] 15 points 3 days ago

explain where Germany should test its new bomb

Mar-a-Lago

[–] [email protected] 13 points 3 days ago (1 children)

The obvious answer is to partner with the UK or France and do it in the middle of fucking nowhere, south Atlantic or South Indian Ocean.

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 days ago (2 children)

They just had an election where the second most popular party was an extreme-right-wing pack of lunatics. What happens when they win the next election?

You cannot afford to have nuclear weapons when you can't be sure who's going to have control of them.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago

If Putin and the USA already have them, isn't that hypothetical too far off when assessing risk?

There's a strong counter movement to the right. I'd rather have a strong deterrent against Putin than not. It's pretty obvious to me what the more immediate and more realistic risk is.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (5 children)

It would be best if there was an EU wide nuclear program. Not a nuclear sharing program but a nuclear program.

If this is impossible for whatever reason it is up to the member states to develop their own programs.

Russia would never have invaded if Ukraine kept their nukes.

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (5 children)

~~AfD sagt "geil", aber wenn wir ehrlich sind sieht es in den anderen Ländern, unter deren nuklearen Schutzschirm wir uns stellen könnten, nicht viel besser aus. Was ist schlimmer, eine AfD-Regierung mit Atombombe oder eine russische oder vielleicht amerikanische Invasion? Pest oder Cholera ...~~

AfD says "hell yeah", but to be honest it's not looking much better in other countries who might extend their nuclear shield (is that even a thing in English?) to Germany. What's worse, a German far-right government with nuclear bombs or Germany being invaded by Russia or maybe the USA? Lesser of two evils ...

edit: whoops, wrong language. I hope this manual translation gets the point across.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 3 days ago

Yup! In Frankreich wir haben nukes und für defensive Zwecke das sieht gut aus. Aber wenn Lepen oder ihr Hundchen wird Präsident sein, dann tickt das Doomsdayclock noch einmal für alle...

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 3 days ago

Yes, if they want to be independent.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Guys, have a kid, buy a house. Smile on your faces. Everything is going to be good.

You need to feel like you have something for them to be able to rip it away.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 3 days ago

Fucking obviously.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 days ago (1 children)
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