Scott Manley did a great video explaining how easily we could redirect it if we found out it was going to hit the earth. We have multiple launch vehicles that can launch a mass at sufficient velocity to nudge it the small amount we need.
Fly safe.
this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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But who's going to pay for it? Not MY tax dollars!
That was his main concern. Like if we find out it’s going to hit central Africa would other nations even bother stopping it when it will be a localized event?
But mah copper!?
Edit: nevermind, they'll probably justify doing nothing by saying it will create jobs and opportunities.
Plot twist the asteroid is made of copper.
Vibranium, duh. They should pay us for not divering the asteroid.
Maybe we can finance it with a brand deal or something, who's Aerosmith's record label?
Wait...
We don't even need to land, drill into the center, drop a nuke and leave behind an American oil driller to detonate it?
I say we still do it, for good luck
I'll be AJ! Liv Tyler was the main thing from that movie that stuck in my 13 year old brain.
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I've seen Don't Look Up. Having the technology to carry out a mission like that is the easy part.
A billion kilometers? How much is that? A few miles? Half a parsec? A couple pounds sterling? This is really worrisome...
Approximately 5X10^12 bananas if that helps?
This is grossly inaccurate and you should be ashamed. A billion km is 5 quadrillion bananas, or 5x10^15.
Unless... are my bananas smaller?
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Roughly 7 million large boulders the size of a small boulder
Thats 6.685 astronomical units (around 6.5x the distance from the earth to the sun)
541 astronomical units (541 times the distance from Earth to the Sun)
What? Not it's not. Where did you get this number?
It's more like 6.7 AU. Source
In other words somewhere between Jupiter and Saturn in terms of distance to the sun.
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That's not even Earth
In the world of astronomy a billion kilometers is like a missile hitting the neighborhood next to yours. So while there's a good amount of hyperbole there, it's still relatively close. You're still shaken up by it hitting your town. And eventually we will win the lottery and have an astronomical event outside our control devestate the earth. It's happened before.
Well, a billion kilometers is almost 7 times the mean distance between the earth and the sun. Asteroids pass in that distance all the time. We're currently closer to Ceres (the dwarf planet) than that and its on the other side of the sun from us.
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Well when they're saying there's 2% odds, that's....probably still higher than you want for the probability of a world ending asteroid strike.
It's not a world ending strike. It's 2.3% odds that a city ending strike lands somewhere on earth, most likely in the ocean.
It's a fraction of a fraction of a % that it'll hit somewhere with any humans at all, much less a populated city.
And on top of that, we have until 2032 to decide what to do about it, with enough time to potentially redirect it with technology we've already demonstrated that works. And if that isn't enough, we just need one or two more data points to figure out almost exactly where it will hit, and can evacuate the area.
Just like we do for hurricanes and other natural disasters.
This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.
This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.
So it's going to be horribly fumbled in the stupidest manner possible and will definitely become a worldwide disaster. Got it.
45/47 is going to shoot down anything that tries to divert it, then. Gotcha.
It's not even gonna hit until 2032, orange fuckface is dead by then
The one caveat is, it’s going to be out of visual range soon and we won’t get any more info for a few years
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You're clearly falling for the clickbait articles if you read that this is a world ender.
China Sets Up 'Planetary Defense' Unit Over 2032 Asteroid Threat
This is just the plot to Don't Look Up.
There's a great video by Scott Manly on the subject if you want to learn more. It'd smaller than some nukes we've tested, and would land somewhere around the equator between the Atlantic and China if it does hit. It looks surprisingly feasible to deflect, but it'd be a time crunch to put a mission together in only a couple of months. Plus it might deflect it into hitting a different country.
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The aliens are a nice touch.
They came to tell us Betelgeuse is going to go super nova any day now
Old news. It went super nova a few months back. But they'll probably keep us from seeing it for about 600 years.
Also it seems to be a picture of the Earth colliding with the Earth.
They're just trying to give us hope
Yeah. YR4 will get as close as 106,000km if it misses.
It's pretty much speculation based on a probability that includes the chance to hit a narrow ring of places along earth's surface, but we don't know how dense it is, although we're relatively sure it's solid, and whether other debris will change its path before it remerges in 2028. It has no risk factor to us until 2032, just in case people are wondering why reputatable science journalists aren't completely poopooing the narratives of other outlets. We'll know what it eats for breakfast by 2029.
Trump did get re-elected, and he's going to do comparable damage to the whole world, so, there's that
I'm team asteroid strike. Hit me baby.
Promises, promises.
Work, damn you, WORK!
Don't threaten me with a good time
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