this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago

It's pretty much speculation based on a probability that includes the chance to hit a narrow ring of places along earth's surface, but we don't know how dense it is, although we're relatively sure it's solid, and whether other debris will change its path before it remerges in 2028. It has no risk factor to us until 2032, just in case people are wondering why reputatable science journalists aren't completely poopooing the narratives of other outlets. We'll know what it eats for breakfast by 2029.