this post was submitted on 22 Jan 2025
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Without immigration, the U.S. population will shrink starting in 2033 in part “because fertility rates are projected to remain too low for a generation to replace itself,” the Congressional Budget Office said.

The reduced projections from last year were the results of a decline in projected fertility rates over 30 years from 1.70 births per woman to 1.60 births per woman and less immigration because of an executive order last June that temporarily suspends asylum processing at the border when U.S. officials deem they are overwhelmed, the budget office said. Replacement happens at a rate of 2.1 births per woman.

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[–] minibyte 4 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

That’s why birth control is restricted.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 15 hours ago

I've been called a lot of things for saying this. doesn't make it any less true.

[–] Rekorse 10 points 1 day ago (2 children)

This point keeps coming up. We are destroying the earth due to overpopulation and overuse, why is it bad for the population to decline for a while. Its very normal for populations of animals in the wild to spike and wane, its not some catastrophe.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

...because western economies are built upon larger young generations paying smaller old generations for the privilege of participation; take away its buttressing and that "stable" economic pyramid becomes a rickety tower...

...you can prop up the generational productivity deficit with industrial automation to some extent, but only if the benefits of automation are democratised rather than hegemonised, otherwise a smaller-and-smaller oligarchy instead dominates an increasingly-marginalised peasantry until the whole thing comes crashing down...

...when life becomes cheap, it will be spent cheaply...

[–] pelespirit 3 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

…when life becomes cheap, it will be spent cheaply…

dude, I've never seen it put that way before. That's the underlying theme for fascists. Send them to war, take away their benefits, stop them from having choices in life. It really doesn't matter to them because life is cheap. I'm going to get drunk this weekend I think.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 17 hours ago

...roll back before fascism and take a look at feudalism to see how ugly things can get in a steady-state oligarch civilisation...

[–] [email protected] 0 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

We are destroying the earth due to overpopulation and overuse

The raw number of humans living in the United States has nothing to do with the degree to which we are demolishing the environment. States and counties with low populations are often more aggressive in unchecked pollution and resource extraction than those with large ones. And the dependence on inefficient energy, materials, and infrastructure is more prominent in communities with small rural distributions.

The policies that are destroying the country will not improve simply because the long-term birthrate is in gradual decline. We're going to smack straight into a Malthusian event due to climate change long before mere population trends impact our pollution output.

Its very normal for populations of animals in the wild to spike and wane

Wild populations do not normally kick off a global extinction event. This isn't just another biological trend, it is a full reworking of the global ecology. Even if we wipe ourselves out tomorrow, humanity's impact will be measured in epochs. Assuming humanity survives long-term, you'll see our footprint for eons.

[–] Rekorse 1 points 38 minutes ago (1 children)

I wasnt talking about what benefits the country. The country is made up, by us. The earth is not. Less humans will benefit the earth, especially capitalist humans.

If the economy needs people, then americans apparently should get to making babies or increase immigration, neither of which are well supported things.

As for climate change killing us first, you'd maybe want to remember what caused climate change in the first place, and how many people contributed to that over the last few hundred years. Almost like more people = more pollution from industry and food production.

Well, unless you can convince people they dont need the conveniences in their lives anymore and that they should stop eating meat and dairy.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 minutes ago

Almost like more people = more pollution

Again, if you look at the per capita production of emissions this varies significantly by country. The median resident of India produces carbon consistently with normal global climate patterns. The median resident of Qatar is this endless plume of fumes.

Well, unless you can convince people they don't need the conveniences in their lives anymore

Part of the convenience of modern life is created by energy conservation. Quality insulation, electric lighting/heating, rail transit and bicycles, modern telecommunication as an alternative to travel, plumbing and water recycling, crop rotation and hydroponics and nitrogen rich fertilizers - all dramatically reduce the per-capita load an individual inflicts on the surrounding environment.

What we're seeing in countries like the US is a failure to invest in ecologically sustainable modernized infrastructure. We've foregone efficiency for profit, because single-use plastics perform better on the balance sheet of the O&G industry than biodegradable alternatives.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 day ago

In before motherhood medals for the spawning of cannon fodder.

[–] [email protected] 54 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Well you guys made everyone poor and want to kick out all the people that wanna move here. You'd rather dismantle planned parenthood to force people to have more babies instead of actually give them an incentive to have babies.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 day ago (1 children)

A lot of people don’t even need incentives, they just need things to not be shit.

[–] taladar 5 points 21 hours ago

What you call "things are shit" is just an incentive to not have babies.

[–] pelespirit 7 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Well you guys made everyone poor and want to kick out all the people that wanna move here

"You guys"? I didn't vote for the orange guy, just like I'm assuming you didn't.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I mean "you guys" as in the people in charge of everything that keep bitching about birthrates. My b

[–] pelespirit 11 points 1 day ago

No worries, we're all frustrated right now.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 day ago

They’re doing everything they can to make women not want to have babies too.

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

It's gonna drop even faster with no one wanting to live in a fascist shit hole. Along with falling immigration, I'm expecting a rise in emigration. I would be if I had money

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 day ago

Nah, any emigration we see won't amount to a rounding error. Brain drain might be impactful though. Many of the intelligentsia left Nazi Germany before it got wild.

[–] pelespirit 24 points 2 days ago (2 children)

FYI, birth rates falling is really bad for a country with capitalism. It becomes top heavy with older people and no one to work for the older people's retirement benefits. That's how you know all of this immigration crap is racism and breaking the government.

[–] remi_pan 5 points 1 day ago

In a non-capitalist system the problem seems to be exactly the same...

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 day ago

The American success story is in great part attributed to a steady stream of immigrants ready to and willing to exploit and be exploited for the promise of a better life for themselves or their children. Disrupt the flow of immigrants and the system might collapse.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 day ago

Wow its almost like nobody wants to live here anymore. I wonder why /s