this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2024
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[–] [email protected] 103 points 4 weeks ago (3 children)

It will never be $30,000 or less. He did the same thing with the Model 3.

You really just can’t believe anything this guy says regarding his products.

[–] [email protected] 44 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

He said $30,000 for the cybertruck too. $30,000 just seems to be his "I don't really know the price" price.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Didn't he say full self drive was two years away at least 5 years ago?

[–] [email protected] 54 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 weeks ago

It was 12 years ago he said he would put a man on mars in 10 years.

[–] dream_weasel 10 points 3 weeks ago

Now now.

You can't believe anything else he says either.

[–] [email protected] 72 points 4 weeks ago (3 children)

In real people years or “we will be on mars soon” years?

[–] [email protected] 27 points 4 weeks ago

In "self-driving by 2016" years

[–] [email protected] 8 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (2 children)

Good question.
The Mars base should be started years ago according to what Musk claimed, and they should have manned flights to Mars by now. And all he has is half failed tests just to do one orbit around earth! 🤣🤣🤣

For 8 years he has claimed Fully autonomous driving will be ready next year. He even claimed years ago, that a car picking you up and driving you across the country was something we can do today!

Enron Musk is a conman, he is obviously a liar, and there are people who still believe him?!

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 weeks ago

Muskrat years.

[–] [email protected] 45 points 4 weeks ago (12 children)

if he gets over his fear of lidar and stops trying to do everything with cameras this could actually work out ... so basically this isn't going to work out.

[–] [email protected] 49 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (2 children)

this could actually work out

No it won't, Elon Next year Musk has promised Fully autonomous driving next year since 2016. He has sold his cars with subscriptions for FSD for years, despite it doesn't work. It's even illegal to call it FSD now, so Tesla has to call it assisted FSD, which is an oxymoron.

With this move, Enron Musk will more likely ensure the continued decline of Tesla. The Cybercab most likely will not be a moneymaker, and the focus on developing it, will detract from Tesla developing much needed new EV models, for a market with increasing competition.

Tesla is far from #1 in developing autonomous driving, so the chances are very slim that they would be even close to be first to market.

AFAIK this is pretty much the current rank:
-1 Waymo (Google)
-2 Mercedes
-3 Mobil Eye
-4 GM (Cruise)
-5 Baidu
-6 Tesla

Possibly Nissan-Renault (WeRide) and Nvidia can match Tesla too.

Notice that Tesla used MobilEye originally up to 2016, but MobilEye ended the partnership after a Tesla model S had a fatal crash. I suspect the irresponsible claims implementation and practices by Elon Musk were too much.

Elon Musk is insane and a con man, to believe anything he claims about the future of his companies is naive.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Because Musk has a weird obsession that everything needs to work with just cameras, and no other sensors can help. While it might work someday in the far future with proper AGI (e.g Delamain from Cyberpunk 2077), until then it's a pretty hopeless endeavour.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

The problem is computer vision has a LONG way to go before it’s truly on par with human eyesight. Musk loves to crow how cameras are sufficient since we use our eyes to drive.

The thing is, eyes have special neural circuits that detect motion. They essentially filter out unnecessary information and send just the motion details to the brain. This prevents the brain from being overloaded with every detail the eye constantly sees.

And being overloaded with everything is exactly what computer vision currently does. It’s just a stream of images that the computer must analyze completely. So it’s working exactly opposite to how the eye & brain works.

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[–] gravitas_deficiency 6 points 4 weeks ago

Man, how did Mobil Eye not just tack an “s” on the end? The pun is right there, and it’s frankly excellent and super topical to what they’re trying to do.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 4 weeks ago (4 children)

What’s the conversion of Elon years to real years?

[–] ironhydroxide 14 points 4 weeks ago

I believe it involves impossible math, like dividing by 0

[–] [email protected] 13 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I think the general rule of thumb is to shift the units of time up.

If he says 2 weeks, try 2 months. If he says 2 months, wait 2 years.

Robotaxis in 2 decades I think is actually achievable.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

It's funny that Boston Dynamic has been quite successful with their biped robot, then Tesla announce something without even a working prototype.

Then Waymo has been quite successful with their driverless taxi, then Melon announce something without even a working prototype.

I wonder what he will copy next.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 weeks ago

Hopefully it's infinity. It's Elon Musk we're talking about. These are 100% going to kill people (pedestrians, other drivers, riders) and animals.

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[–] [email protected] 29 points 4 weeks ago

What mass transit program is Musk trying to disrupt now? (As he did California's high speed rail with the Hyperloop.)

[–] [email protected] 27 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Dumbest car design yet Elon. Congrats. Nothing says cab like a coupe design with gullwing doors.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

A cab with no driver is just an incredibly expensive gender neutral toilet. I shudder to think what will be done in these if they ever exist.

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 4 weeks ago

I agree it is an idiotic design for a cab, but I'd argue the Cybertruck is a way dumber design even by visuals alone. That thing would at least make for a half decent sports car (again, visually).

[–] [email protected] 26 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Oh. So "unveiling" doesn't mean they have something. Just the "2 years" promise is repeated for the N'th time ;-)

[–] [email protected] 13 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Normally it's always promised next year, so a 2 year deadline means the project is in serious trouble.

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[–] [email protected] 23 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Just a reminder that reasonably minded shareholders would never take what Elon says as anything other than fluffery, and should refrain from making any financial decisions based on such fluff.

https://electrek.co/2024/10/02/elon-musk-celebrates-winning-lawsuit-tesla-self-driving-claims-embarrassing-defense/

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

WTF? How can a CEO walk from responsibility by claiming puffery? Which is the same as admitting to lying!
In civilized countries CEO is a position of responsibility, you can't just talk up stock or sales with false claims. The requirements for a CEO are higher than usual, exactly because everything they say can have a financial impact.
I'm pretty sure that judgement is not according to normal practices. It's disgusting they let that pedo walk again and again.

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[–] sugar_in_your_tea 6 points 3 weeks ago

Well, the stock tanked by ~10% after the news, so yeah, shareholders don't seem to be buying it and want more specifics.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 4 weeks ago

Given Tesla's usual build quality I feel like it's pretty much inevitable that there are going to be an enormous amount of skull and limb injuries from those gullwing doors.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 4 weeks ago (12 children)

Its name is still not clear. Prior to the event, Musk referred to it as both ‘Cybercab’ and ‘Robotaxi’.

Couldn't even decide a name and everything is 3d render. Add 3 years at least to the existing estimation. At least they didn't have a toy rc as a representation, like their announcement of the robot.

Musk said that Cybercab is equipped with Tesla’s AI5 onboard computer and based on a visual check, it appears to only use cameras, like Tesla’s existing vehicles.

Gonna add another 1 year to it. Cybertruck didn't even have full autopilot yet, and required the car to be babyseated. Steering-less car that only use camera for their autopilot is gonna be a disaster.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Steering-less car that only use camera for their autopilot is gonna be a disaster.

Already is.

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[–] [email protected] 17 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago)

You know what would have been even more useful is a 28k model 2. This show was a scam.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 4 weeks ago

I've heard this one before… Musk has proven himself an untrustworthy bad faith actor who lies constantly about many things, especially self-driving Teslas.

Now he's a right-wing loon because he thinks they will let him get away with fraud. He acts like he's on a speed run to ruin his own credibility.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 4 weeks ago

Coming in 2, 2.5, 3, 3.5, oh whatever. In the future Ketamine Karen will introduce a new scam / con / road safety hazard!

[–] [email protected] 11 points 4 weeks ago

Johnny cab hopes you enjoyed the ride

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

So they didn't unveil it...

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 weeks ago (3 children)

No way in hell is this going to be ready in two years.

Although I do like the idea behind the vehicle.

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