this post was submitted on 04 Jun 2024
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[–] [email protected] 19 points 6 months ago (1 children)

"Decimate" means to decrease by 10%.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 6 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 months ago

While I disagree with you, that was a good article.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 months ago (4 children)

This might be somewhat unpopular with some people, but I don't think Ukraine should involve itself in other countries' civil wars, but I can see why they'd do that:

  1. they fight against Russian interests, and
  2. they get brownie points with the West for fighting against their enemies

Still not a huge supporter of that, though.

[–] [email protected] 23 points 6 months ago (2 children)

That's not what they're doing, they're forcing Russia to fight harder on another front to reduce forces in Ukraine and hopefully weaken their defense enough for a major breakthrough.

If that means Russia abandons Syria then Ukraine will likely get a huge influx of Syrian mercs or Russia redistributes assets and losses ground in Ukraine, either way that's a win.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

I don't know how many Syrian merchants would be available to ukraine. I do feel like russia may be more willing to abandon Syria than lose to ukraine. Even without russia there will still be fighting for awhile between the groups in Syria. It's just that the russian horse in that race will no longer be in debt to them. This isn't good for russia I'm sure, but russia has already abandoned allies for this war. Armenia was calling in the equivalent to article 5 on russia again and again. They were left to rot. I don't know how long it would take this to pay off. I can see putting pressure on them, but if you break them in Syria, it may just cause russia to pull all the troops from there and bring them to ukraine. There's a careful dance to play here.

Edit, autocorrect changed mercenaries to merchants

[–] [email protected] 19 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I think they just want to kill Russians anywhere and everywhere. That’s one less that will come to Ukraine. I don’t blame them

[–] [email protected] 13 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Those Russian mercenaries are running recruitment operations to feed foreign nationals e.g. Syrians into the Ukraine theatre.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

They also force Russia to dedicate tactically significant resources to a region far away. This in turn weighs on logistics.

It also weighs on morale, every time Ukraine can show that Russia is not as invincible as they like their opponents to believe it helps their adversaries, who in turn can also apply more pressure on the Russian military war machine.

Allies of Russia mainly use Russian military equipment and in the current situation, exports of the Russian military industrial complex are 0 or below (they buy back previously sold equipment). So buyers of this equipment start looking for other sources of equipment, which many other countries will gladly supply. Causing the customer base of the Russian manufacturers to shrink, making development and production more expensive and alternatives more interesting. A lost customer here is usually lost for decades of not forever.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago