this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2023
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[–] [email protected] 160 points 8 months ago (6 children)

The stock market isn’t the economy, at least as most Americans experience it, though it is the same metric that Trump and his followers used to show how “strong” the economy was during his term.

If I had a nickel for every time some Trump apologist said “sure, Trump’s a jerk, but how’s your 401(k)?” during 2017-2021, I’d have… a lot of nickels.

[–] [email protected] 59 points 8 months ago (7 children)

“sure, Trump’s a jerk, but how’s your 401(k)?”

Total shit like always. 401ks are poor substitutes for pensions or ya know social security that's actually worth something, since I don't think it will exist when I can retire.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (3 children)

401Ks, in general, are a terrible substitute for pensions and social security. The GOP wanted to push Americans' retirement funds into the stock market, and they did that with 401Ks.

I ran some basic analysis a few weeks ago, and even with the corporate matching on 401Ks, due to the poor fund investment options available in most 401Ks, they underperformed index funds over a 30 year period.

Yes, that means many people who contributed to their 401K at full amount, even with matching, have less money than someone who just invested in SPY or VOO over the same period.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Financial vehicles for retirement should be relatively low risk, with that risk becoming even lower as you reach retirement age. Investing in a single stock, no matter what it is, is a high risk. Sure, you can look into the past and say "if you'd just invested in Stock X," but that's with the benefit of hindsight.

The only way you should be managing your 401K is into an index fund with low fees. That's it. Everything else is gambling.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago

Yup. If your 401k is consistently losing money, then you have it in the wrong investments. You should be seeing an average return of ~7%.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago (3 children)

confused by your comment because my 401k contributions go directly towards index funds. are you talking specifically about target date funds, or something else?

[–] Socsa 13 points 8 months ago

It's laughably obviously that this individual has zero experience with individual retirement accounts and is, in fact, making up this alleged analysis. There is no way they even have access to such data.

Target year funds will almost always underperform SPY, by design. They are broad market funds which taper into bonds over time. Either way, I have never seen a 401k which doesn't have many, many index tracking options.

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[–] Socsa 3 points 8 months ago

Most 401ks these days have very few restrictions on how they can be invested. And you can always roll them into an IRA with basically no restrictions. You can literally day trade options on margin in most IRAs.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Yeah, but now the upper and middle classes future are dependent on stonks go up. Who would have guessed that all it took to disrupt class solidarity between the lower and middle class was just a little gambling?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago (6 children)

Also, there are all those management fees to be made....I'm surprised the 401K is even legal at this point. Imagine setting up a structure where huge amounts of guaranteed profits are given to an industry:

All told, the Center for American Progress estimates that a typical worker -- earning the median income and paying the average 401(k) fees over their lifetime -- will be assessed a total of $138,336 in fees. And the cost is much more severe for high-income workers, who, assuming a starting salary of $75,000 at age 25, are projected to pay an estimated $340,147 over their lifetimes, thanks to the fee structure of the average 401(k) plan.

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[–] [email protected] 27 points 8 months ago (3 children)

True, but also the economy was plummeting for years. I can’t think of a year Joe Biden was president that we weren’t expecting a recession by the end of it. Right now we’re looking at improvement next year. That’s what Biden’s economy is. He played a bad hand really well and we’re consistently doing better than countries with right wing leadership have been since the pandemic.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 8 months ago (1 children)

It's just the cycle. Dems get the economy healthy, then a republican comes in and trashes everything and leaves a mess for the next dem in office to fix.

The policy changes always take some time to fuck things up, so it usually happens after the republican gets ousted.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I mean, the housing market is fucked for the foreseeable future because the Trump administration kept interest rates ridiculously low, well after we had recovered from the 2008 crash.

This made a bubble from businesses and individuals borrowing as much "free money" as they could because it was easy to beat the interest, even from low performing investments. Obviously, a lot of this money ended up in the real estate market, inflating the shit out of it. Then the pandemic happened, and everyone was stuck at home, wanting to upgrade, and bam, crazy inflation.

So now we're rather fucked. Prices aren't coming down because people are locked into their stupidly low interest rates and can't sell without taking a huge hit.

Big surprise that existing real estate owners saw their properties double as a direct result of economic policy, dictated by a real estate tycoon president.

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

“sure, Trump’s a jerk, but how’s your 401(k)?”

Or as I like to paraphrase, "My morality is for sale"

[–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago

It's only a "depression" when the ownership class is affected.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 8 months ago

Reality truly doesn't matter anymore. They just want to scream whatever they want to.

[–] [email protected] 47 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Says the "businessman" who bankrupted his own casinos and achieved his company wealth through fraud.

ETA: that is a very unflattering photo, holy shit.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 8 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago (1 children)
[–] Ashyr 15 points 8 months ago (3 children)

Confusing acronym given it already means estimated time of arrival.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Acronyms can have more than one meaning.

TLC - tender loving care

TLC - the learning channel

[–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago (2 children)

TLC - T-Boz, Left Eye, and Chilli

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 8 months ago (1 children)

The stock market is not a 1:1 representation of the spending power of your dollar. The stock market is how well your overlords are doing, not you, the average american.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 8 months ago (2 children)

True, but Republicans constantly tout the stock market's performance when they are in charge. Every tick upwards is declared to be thanks to them. Every dip is said to be because Democrats got in the way.

So a Democrat in charge of the White House and the stock market rising is a good refutation of their talking point. For "common man economy indications," I'd instead point to things like the extremely low unemployment rate.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago

They like to claim the low unemployment is somehow a bad thing. If you dig into why, it's basically because when employees are harder to replace, they're harder to exploit, so working conditions and wages improve while shareholder profits slightly decrease, and they focus entirely on the latter.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 8 months ago

trump lies about everything but the stock market has ever-decreasing relevance to the average american because it reflects the value of property and the average american is being shut out of owning anything.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I said it during the Trump admin and I say it still. The stock market is not the economy and I don't really care how much money the top 1% owning the majority of stocks are ~~making~~ skimming.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago

I agree, but it's still blatant lying from Trump because you know he doesn't care about that other 99% and the economy beyond the stock market.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Every word uttered by a conservative is deception or manipulation. Every word.

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[–] [email protected] 35 points 8 months ago

By every metric they ridiculed Obama over, and praised Trump for (forget delayed-onset of policy effects from Obama), they suddenly ignore for Biden lmao.

Gas coming down, inflation rate down, stock markers up, unemployment good, et.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Republicans have no need for facts and truth, truthiness and alternative facts are all they need and Trump's word is all of that wrapped up in a nice racist package.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 8 months ago (4 children)

It's all president drink bleach can do - constantly forecast doom and gloom to the people who aren't happy without something to spend every waking moment worrying about.

It's a drug to them worse than heroin.

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[–] [email protected] 16 points 8 months ago

I guess Trump is currently in the one in a depression phase.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 8 months ago

He's always saying some bullshit, can we move on?

[–] Thief_of_Crows 15 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Okay but it isn't for normal people. Your made up numbers have nothing to do with the average person.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago

For the average person, there is less inequality (Gini coefficient has gone down), high employment, and historic wage increases. Not saying there aren’t still lots of problems, but the economy is hands down better under Biden.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I love it when liberals start screaming at you about how it is misinformation that Americans think the economy isn’t doing great because stock market number good or some other economic number good.

It’s like, have you fucking talked to any human beings living in the US lately? Are you out of your mind? Life in the US is brutally hard right now. We are in the middle of a massive class war and we are losing badly, but yes the class that actually owns the economy is doing great.

Conservatives/Trump are obviously shittier choices, it just is 0% surprising that people don’t feel that happy about the stock market doing well when they can’t afford rent and the idea of owning a home is a laughable pipe dream.

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[–] eestileib 14 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I seem to recall the stock market doing extremely well right up to 1929...

[–] [email protected] 20 points 8 months ago (1 children)

You remember that?! How old are you?

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[–] [email protected] 13 points 8 months ago

That's donnie, really tuned into the reality of things, at least as Faux "News" portrays them.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago

I was gonna say.... things were looking pretty great today.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago

Even though my burger today was not $3.60, but was in fact $2.35. ok Trump.. you fucking idiot

[–] [email protected] 3 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (3 children)

So here's the thing: remember facts don't care about your feelings? That is, and has always been, bullshit projection. Conservatives react by emotion just as often as, or even more than, liberals. So we're all pissed off most of the time.

On a surface level, liberals and conservatives are mostly in agreement on one thing: things are kind of bad. Rent is skyrocketing, and groceries are taking more and more of what little is left. The homeownership that was promised to our grandparents, an assumption of our parents, is for us a distant dream, at best. We're also waking up to the reality that retirement will no longer be a thing by the time we get to that age. These realizations are not giving a pleasant view of our future.

So economists can point to very real facts that demonstrate that Bidenomics is working, inflation is slowing, and the market is recovering. Well, fuck all that. I still end up scraping by every month on pocket change and prayers. The facts out of the White House feel like lies. I don't feel any better just because someone I don't trust tells me that things are getting better. I am more likely to feel that things are only getting worse, because that's been the trend for the past eight years.

In short, my feelings don't care about your facts.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Well, fuck all that. I still end up scraping by every month on pocket change and prayers.

The actual data says it has nothing to do with personal experience and everything to do with what the media tells people. When polled last month, voters in swing states were split down the middle on what they experienced in their own lives, whether their local city or town's economy was heading in the right direction, but three out of four said the national economy, something they have no first hand understanding of, is going in the wrong direction.

The oligarch-owned media constantly tells everyone that things are terrible but people look at their own lives and local economy and don't see it, so they assume it's happening everywhere else.

[–] mark3748 4 points 8 months ago

Chris Hayes did a segment about that very thing a few days ago.

[–] prole 4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

That's just not how statistics work. Your personal, anecdotal experience is completely irrelevant.

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