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SimilarWeb has just released traffic estimates for June. According to these estimates, Reddit's traffic has seen a 3.36% month-over-month decrease.
For comparison, here's how traffic has changed for other popular social networking websites:
Source: https://www.similarweb.com/website/reddit.com/#overview
I don't think that many content posters will leave. Sure, in tech oriented communities they will, as they are the ones most receptive to fediverse or other alternatives.
But painters, photographers, historians, chefs... etc are a large part of what make reddit great. And plenty of those don't really give a fuck about the platform. They will just use the official app and move on.
No they'll find alternatives too if they don't like what's going on. There's really no need for reddit anymore
For most of them this is just a minor inconvenience compared to the gigantic community they get.
Im sure if reddit keeps this path it will deteriorate and lose users, especially as new generations don't enter it and prefer other platforms, but it still has a very long way to go.
Even twitter, which is full-on scorched earth with big messes like limited viewership, still retains a large active community.
Yes! That's what happened with Facebook too. Techy people left the platform long ago but it's still really useful for other types of users, the ones who don't really want to invest time into learning how to use a different platform.
I deleted my account 7 years ago, but my SO is still using hers and it brings her real value. She is active in the local communities, uses the marketplace, etc.
Ironically, I've been trying to get her to use Reddit more over the past few years...
In that case, maybe we’ll just have to grow a similar community here as well.