this post was submitted on 13 Dec 2023
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Russia has lost a staggering 87 percent of the total number of active-duty ground troops it had prior to launching its invasion of Ukraine and two-thirds of its pre-invasion tanks, a source familiar with a declassified US intelligence assessment provided to Congress told CNN.

Still, despite heavy losses of men and equipment, Russian President Vladimir Putin is determined to push forward as the war approaches its two-year anniversary early next year and US officials are warning that Ukraine remains deeply vulnerable. A highly anticipated Ukrainian counteroffensive stagnated through the fall, and US officials believe that Kyiv is unlikely to make any major gains over the coming months.

The assessment, sent to Capitol Hill on Monday, comes as some Republicans have balked at the US providing additional funding for Ukraine and the Biden administration has launched a full-court press to try to get supplemental funding through Congress.

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 11 months ago (3 children)

This cannot be true lol. If it is, russians must be feeling this a lot more at home and international news hasnt reported the shock yet

[–] [email protected] 20 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (3 children)

0.2% of population and they have had mobilizations since then so it’s not that big a deal

Like if 120 people died in a city of 60 000. Not really noticeable

[–] [email protected] 10 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

Of the total population it may be small but the deaths are not a random sampling of the population. They are almost exclusively young men. If we define fighting age as 18-45 Russia has roughly 25 million men. 315k casualties is 1.26% of that population. That alone is a massive amount to lose in such a short period of time. Even before this Russia was in a demographic crisis.

And that 18-45 range is probably too generous. Soldiers are usually young, particularly front line infantry. In the US military like 45% of service members are under 25 and 65% are under 30. When you factor in the number of Russians who fled the country to avoid mobilization (~1 million) 10% of the men between 18 and 30 in 2021 being currently in the military, dead, or fled is a realistic estimate. That's crazy. Those are numbers we haven't seen since WWI. And the conflict isn't over, more will die.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago

Those 120 people have family and friends. A workplace or a school. So if 120 people die, nearly everyone in a city of 60000 would have known one of the dead.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago

It's not hard to do body counts. Satellites don't have to do much for getting counts of troops. And counting the dead isn't hard either at this point with constant drones and videos recording 24/7. I'm sure you aren't arguing the numbers just being surprised, and it's more shocking that russians haven't overthrown putin at this point.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago

They can't or won't leave. And even if they try, the die.