this post was submitted on 04 Aug 2023
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Summary:

Democrats are becoming increasingly concerned about a possible drop in Black voter turnout for the 2024 presidential election, according to party insiders. The worries arise from a 10% decrease in Black voter turnout in the 2022 midterms compared to 2018, a more substantial decline than any other racial or ethnic group, as per a Washington Post analysis. The decline was particularly significant among younger and male Black voters in crucial states like Georgia, where Democrats aim to mobilize Black voter support for President Biden in 2024.

The Democratic party has acknowledged the need to bolster their outreach efforts to this demographic. W. Mondale Robinson, founder of the Black Male Voter Project, highlighted the need for Democrats to refocus their attention on Black male voters, who have shown lower levels of engagement. In response, Biden's team has pledged to communicate more effectively about the benefits that the Black community has reaped under Biden's administration, according to Cedric L. Richmond, a senior advisor at the Democratic National Committee.

However, Black voter advocates have identified deep-seated issues affecting Black voter turnout. Many Black men reportedly feel detached from the political process and uninspired by both parties' policies. Terrance Woodbury, CEO of HIT Strategies, a polling firm, suggests that the Democratic party's focus on countering Trump and Republican extremism doesn't motivate younger Black men as much as arguments focused on policy benefits. Concerns are growing within the party that if they fail to address these issues, disenchanted Black voters might either abstain or, potentially, be swayed by Republican messaging on certain key issues.

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[–] [email protected] 204 points 1 year ago (16 children)

Maybe... Maaaaaayyyyyyybeeeee the Democrats need to nominate someone who is actually worth getting excited about instead of just being not-Trump.

[–] [email protected] 66 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Because if voters are excited, they may start voting in primaries...

Every since Obama beat Clinton 15 years ago, party leaders seem more motivated to make sure their pick wins the primary than a Democrat winning the general.

"Moderates" seem ineffictive because they're not trying to just win, they're trying to win by as little as possible. Like a corrupt pro athlete who's not throwing the game, but trying to win by less than the spread.

They know the reason most people vote for moderates like Biden, is if they don't, someone like trump would win. It's just the party leaders would rather trade back and forth than let Dems like FDR win every election for decades.

[–] [email protected] 39 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ever since Obama beat Clinton 15 years ago

Jesus I thought you were exaggerating and then I did the math

[–] [email protected] 44 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

If you think that's bad:

Biden's first presidential primary was 35 years ago...

He was the expected front runner due mainly to his (at the time) exceptional public speaking but got caught plagiarizing speeches, lying about his grades in law school, and even people finding out he cheated while in law school by plagiarising papers.

But everyone forgot about all that because he spent 8 years standing next to Obama. And the only reason he got that job was to make old white people less uncomfortable voting for a Black guy.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That's a great way to put it. Both parties are funded by dark money interests, one drives us to the right and the other keeps us in place. This is described as the ratchet effect

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (1 children)

and millions are claiming the democrats are radicals, little do they know that the country was more progressive on certain fronts 50 years ago. So they have to resort to blaming gays and trans, because everything else about the current staye of the country is kinda right-wingy to begin with.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Hell, Republicans 50 years ago were more progressive than the Dems are today.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 year ago (12 children)

Anyone "worth getting excited about" is going to challenge the status quo too much - even nominally - for the DNC to be okay with it. They are conservative in the descriptive sense. "No-one's standard of living will fundamentally change."

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[–] [email protected] 28 points 1 year ago

Sorry, the do-something machine is broke. Best we can do is partially fossilized C-Suite moderates.

Well, what if we put RFK Jr beside them, does that make them seem any better?

Well, now you're just being unreasonable.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Or maybe you need to understand that the down ticket races are more important than the presidency?

Change in the US starts at the bottom. Not the top.

Fuck the presidency. Just vote for the candidate that isn't going to burn the country down.

You want real change? Real progressivism? Vote progressives into local offices. Your young, progressive education board member today is your congressional rep tomorrow. Your congressional rep today is your presidential hopeful tomorrow.

Let the status quo dems toss whatever geriatric they want at the presidency and vote them in so we don't get another trump, or worse, a president desantis or something.

Presidents don't often push new laws anyway. You want to change the country? Help take the House and the Senate. As long as the president is the same party they're not going to veto progressive legislation.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

I was about to write something like your comment.

You want real change? Real progressivism? Vote progressives into local offices

Show up to every local election. Pay attention at the local level. Use your passion against the two party system to get third-party candidates elected to your state house.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago

This shit right here. Both times I was exited for a candidate he got thrown out because the party leaders didn't like him, first with Hillary, and then with Biden. I'm just going to continue to vote for not-trump because I know how bad it will be but I don't want any centrist democrat almost as much as I dont want trump.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Maybe… Maaaaaayyyyyyybeeeee the left voters need to actually show up to vote.

Now everyone is going to say they voted in a presidential election, possibly even a primary which makes them a rarity! Those aren't what we're talking about. The right has made it a point to vote on everything even as small as schoolboards so the only people voting in the tiny little races are the right wing rage crowd or the centrists who are being pulled to the right. Yes, the presidential vote matters, but frankly those lower down votes mean a lot more and if you watch how the Republican primaries are going, shows exactly how much power that batch that will show up has over a party.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (6 children)

This is some real "pull yourself up by the bootstraps" energy. If "just vote" actually worked, they'd change the system just enough so it doesn't. Assembling establishment voltron in 2020 during the primaries is just a tiny taste of the lengths that democrats will go to in order to prevent a progressive candidate from winning.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Thing is, it isn't "Just vote", it's being absolutely active every step of the way. Dunno what your territory is but my state we're having an absolute route of the ultra-right wing going for every local position with the Republicans national conference funding them, the Dems have considered the entire state a lost cause.

So kinda, yea, it is a pull yourself up by the bootstraps, and anyone else who you can pull up as well because we're sure as hell not getting help from the top, but it's either that or sit on our fucking hands and go "whelp". Remember, whether you like her or not, AOC primaried the supposed "2nd in command" Democrat. If you don't like the establishment, you root it out from the bottom.

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago (5 children)

I'm convinced he was picked because "it was his time"

[–] [email protected] 30 points 1 year ago (3 children)

I don’t think that was the main reason.

IMO, Biden was nominated because he was a fairly uncontroversial (by mainstream sensibilities anyway) white male candidate who also isn’t that attached to many positions that would threaten the powers that be.

Biden is a weather vane that swings in accordance to the winds. Which is all that was needed to beat a historically unpopular candidate like Trump. Thankfully, Trump is such a bad option that even Biden can be a palatable candidate.

Why this fossil didn’t bend the knee and allow another younger, more exciting candidate step up for 2024 is beyond me though. But I guess seeing the average age and mental capability of Congress, it shouldn’t be surprising. IMO, everyone over the age of 65 should be ineligible for elected office. They are at retirement age, and have no real, justifiable stake in the future. They should retire with the knowledge they won life and can live out the rest of their days in comfort and leave running the country to people who have skin in the game and the energy/mental faculties to actually play it.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Biden joining + everyone else dropping out was the last hope the establishment had to kneecap Bernie, and it fucking worked

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That almost makes it sound like we live in an autocracy and not a democracy when the party picks who's running and not the voters...

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Well they have argued in court on the public record that they owe their members no expectation of democracy.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

You’ve been lied to your entire life that we live in a democracy. When people tell you this isn’t a democracy this is the reason why.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Biden won because black women liked him and they actually go out and vote in the primaries, unlike the louts in this thread who are literally talking about how they won’t vote.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Biden won because black women liked him and they actually go out and vote in the primaries, unlike the louts in this thread who are literally talking about how they won’t vote.

I think that goes with him being uncontroversial. Black people in America are fairly conservative, and politically they like to go for people who can win that aren't too radical. Biden was that candidate.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Why this fossil didn’t bend the knee and allow another younger, more exciting candidate step up for 2024 is beyond me though.

Probably because the geriatrics fucked two whole generations of politicians by not stepping down when they should have.

Gen X and millennials don't have enough horses in the race with the experience necessary to run for president because they got fucked by the boomers.

We're going to be in for an exciting ride over the next two decades as something like 40% of Congress retires or dies in office without anyone with experience available to replace them.

And this is on both sides.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

He won because they weren't going to allow Bernie Sanders to win

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[–] prole 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Or maybe grow up and realize that political offices and the people that fill them shouldn't be "exciting". Maybe the problem is that we all want someone exciting... With no regard for competence.

"I'd have a beer with him." Who gives a fuck???

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Problem is that you need to convince tens of millions of people to grow up. I think this chap here is merely suggesting we give the idiots what they want.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Candidates that will the whole party will find exciting are basically a once in a generation event, if that. This generation's such candidate was Obama. Democrats as a party are reliant on far too big of a tent to make this a viable strategy or thought process.

A candidate that I, a far left progressive, would get excited about is a candidate that a lot of center-of-left or moderate voters would find boring. Even within wings of the party there's not going to be lockstep excitement (go back to Dec 2019 and ask Sanders supporters how "excited" they'd be for a Warren candidacy!).

This line of argument is consistently just people pining for candidates that more closely reflect our own ideological views, not a reflection of the reality available to us. There was no such candidate in 2016 or 2020 and won't be for 2024. I'm not going to hold my breath for 2028 either. Maybe by 2032 we might see the next Obama, someone that excites the whole party.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (7 children)

I gave you an upvote because I agree with the spirit of your message. However, I would like to remind you that if the DNC hadn't literally rigged the system against Bernie Sanders in 2016 that we more than likely would not be where we are today.

There was a HUGE amount of grassroots support behind Bernie (the most in modern American history), and the Democrats burned a lot of goodwill with voters by shoe-horning Hillary in as the heir apparent. There has never been a candidate that bridged the gap the way Bernie did in my lifetime, and that one single decision did incalculable damage to the world.

I will gladly vote for Biden because I know it is a moral imperative to do so, and I am not a moron. I am also not trying to take away from his legislative victories because I believe they warrant more merit than they have received. However, I will not easily forgive or forget the chicanery, underhanded closed door attempts at king-making, and generally coercive tactics utilized by the DNC that got us here.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (3 children)

The support for Bernie wasn't even just in the Democratic party. Young moderates and even a few conservatives I knew were excited about him.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That's exactly what I meant when I said he bridged the gap. Every single person I knew from every walk of life in my state were Bernie supporters including a surprising number of rural voters, moderates, and younger conservatives as you said in your post. I have just never seen anyone who's messaging was so effective at bringing so many different people together over solution oriented propositions on the issues.

Nothing has ever jaded me as much politically as watching what the DNC did to Bernie. The amount of fear they had over a candidate who was able to muster legitimate support from a heterodox voter base was very telling, and it shaped my political views more than any other experience in my life.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I think the bigger problem was that he was completely honest and showed that his message was consistent with his actions and votes over his career. Being smeared and pushed aside early on (see Rachel Maddow and all of the media trying to say Hilary had too many Delegates already pledged to her to overcome before the first primary vote did incredible damage that the "she got more votes than Bernie" group cleanly ignore had a huge effect, and that he still nearly won anyway shows how big the support really was that the Democratic party actively destroyed.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Hillary was also not-Trump. That worked out well.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It will only last a few more years, but in the near-ish future the problem will take care of itself. (They're both very old)

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

Henry Kissinger is still alive.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Spoiler alert: The problem doesn't end with some old people. Greed is eternal and has to be actively fought the entire time.

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