this post was submitted on 14 Nov 2024
47 points (98.0% liked)

No Stupid Questions

36103 readers
1491 users here now

No such thing. Ask away!

!nostupidquestions is a community dedicated to being helpful and answering each others' questions on various topics.

The rules for posting and commenting, besides the rules defined here for lemmy.world, are as follows:

Rules (interactive)


Rule 1- All posts must be legitimate questions. All post titles must include a question.

All posts must be legitimate questions, and all post titles must include a question. Questions that are joke or trolling questions, memes, song lyrics as title, etc. are not allowed here. See Rule 6 for all exceptions.



Rule 2- Your question subject cannot be illegal or NSFW material.

Your question subject cannot be illegal or NSFW material. You will be warned first, banned second.



Rule 3- Do not seek mental, medical and professional help here.

Do not seek mental, medical and professional help here. Breaking this rule will not get you or your post removed, but it will put you at risk, and possibly in danger.



Rule 4- No self promotion or upvote-farming of any kind.

That's it.



Rule 5- No baiting or sealioning or promoting an agenda.

Questions which, instead of being of an innocuous nature, are specifically intended (based on reports and in the opinion of our crack moderation team) to bait users into ideological wars on charged political topics will be removed and the authors warned - or banned - depending on severity.



Rule 6- Regarding META posts and joke questions.

Provided it is about the community itself, you may post non-question posts using the [META] tag on your post title.

On fridays, you are allowed to post meme and troll questions, on the condition that it's in text format only, and conforms with our other rules. These posts MUST include the [NSQ Friday] tag in their title.

If you post a serious question on friday and are looking only for legitimate answers, then please include the [Serious] tag on your post. Irrelevant replies will then be removed by moderators.



Rule 7- You can't intentionally annoy, mock, or harass other members.

If you intentionally annoy, mock, harass, or discriminate against any individual member, you will be removed.

Likewise, if you are a member, sympathiser or a resemblant of a movement that is known to largely hate, mock, discriminate against, and/or want to take lives of a group of people, and you were provably vocal about your hate, then you will be banned on sight.



Rule 8- All comments should try to stay relevant to their parent content.



Rule 9- Reposts from other platforms are not allowed.

Let everyone have their own content.



Rule 10- Majority of bots aren't allowed to participate here.



Credits

Our breathtaking icon was bestowed upon us by @Cevilia!

The greatest banner of all time: by @TheOneWithTheHair!

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 

I see lots of talk on Lemmy about the AI bubble bursting. That AGI isn’t going to happen in the near-term, maybe it won’t ever happen. And so the the AI bubble will burst; ala the dot-com bubble.

But what exactly will burst? OpenAI and Claude? Those are private companies so maybe they will downsize or merge, but that’s not a bubble? NVIDIA & Microsoft? I don’t really see those companies imploding. They have a pretty large and diversified customer base. Besides, Apple and AWS are already moving away from NVIDIA by making their own hardware. I genuinely don’t understand where the big implosion is. Can someone help me understand this?

ETA: Is there an example analogous to pets.com for this AI bubble?

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] L0rdMathias 10 points 1 month ago

Investors have invested lots of money into these companies. This means in some form or another these companies have agreed to pay back these investors in some way. You can answer this by quite literally thinking of money like a river, and the motion of that river is what gives energy to businesses so they can do their things.

In a normal not-bubble market, there is a flow of cash that goes from investors, into the company, and then back out to investors so they can do other things with it.

In a bubble market a lot of cash is flowing into the company, but little or no cash is flowing out back to investors. There are two possible things that happen here, either the cash eventually starts flowing again and we're all good back to normal after some stabilization period, or people stop pumping cash into the business and the dam breaks. All that money is lost, or all that potential business energy is lost, or some combination of the two no matter how you slice it it's wasted effort.

To keep with the water metaphor the AI market is like a hose that's wound up in a box we can't see into. We've pumped a ton of water into this hose and haven't seen anything come out the other end. There could be a leak somewhere, or maybe we don't have enough water to even get through the hose and people will want to use their water for other things instead. One thing we do know is that we've devoted so much water to this operation that if something does go wrong it has to go wrong spectacularly.