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If China wants Taiwan it should also reclaim land from Russia, says president
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2024
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I have been wondering since this war started, what's preventing China from just taking ALL of Russia. Like, 2021? That's Russia. 2025? That's China now.
Russia would never threaten China with nukes, because 1) China ALSO has nukes, and 2) China has been the only thing keeping Russia afloat recently.
So what if something like 9,000,000 soldiers all collectively invaded Russia from one central entrypoint as far east as Chinas border is along Russias, thus splitting Russias military in a two way war.
The United States wouldn't get involved because that would mean they're helping Russia. But also, who else WOULD get involved? Putin is lucky that China doesn't have ME as it's head of state. Because from my perspective, it's free real estate that nobody wants to defend, being occupied by a tiger army, and it's land is full of resources that if China were to monopolize, would grant them a grip around the balls of the rest of the world.
But it would have to be a scorched earth kind of invasion. The kind that pisses off basically everyone, because it leaves every single Russian, military, or citizen, dead. They'd have to come in, take everything, and kill everything. Take the land. The only thing they have to make sure of, is that they DON'T fight Ukraine. They tell Ukraine "We won't invade your space, but Russia is ours". And Ukraine would probably take that deal.
But it seems China is very VERY averse to war right now. Which tells me, they aren't ready for a war.
Because the real world is not a Civ game.
Believe it or not, China isn't Russia. I can't believe I'm in the position of defending the PRC, but the PRC doesn't want the international order destroyed by reckless and unrestrained warfare. They just want to replace the West as top dog in that order. They'll bully and bluster, just as the US does when the carrot doesn't work, but, Taiwan aside, they don't have any desire to start an expensive and pointless war.
Right? Why do civilizations fight wars anyway? If not flat out colonialism and dick measuring, then It’s usually for resources, maybe protection for cultural exclaves if it serves the nation’s geopolitical interest.
All that is to say, Russians are not Chinese. And I don’t think many Eastern Russians would welcome the switch. So, China would be instigating a lot of strife for minimal gains.
Taiwan on the other hand, I can at least understand. I don’t agree with the stance, not in the least, primarily because I believe democracy is superior to communism. Nevertheless, if I had my adversaries 100 miles off my border and their existence hampered me economically and militarily, then I absolutely would subjugate them in any way possible.
Because first of all they would then have to care for all of Russia's very nationalistic citizens. Second, why would they do anything while they can just sit and watch Russia piss away their entire economy and military?
Look dude, Imma be blunt, but this take has got to be one of the dumbest takes I think I've ever seen regarding politics.
You really think there wouldn't be any consequences at all for just culling 100 million people off the face of the Earth? That's more than every single death in World War II.
Russia and the world is lucky to not have you as the leader of China because frankly your username matches the quality of the take.
I guess when you made the point that this is how you would do it if you were in charge, none of us expected that you were saying that you would deliberately commit genocide.
Really fucking weird thing to say...
They can just take with nearly no resistance if they just let it all collapse. Also, they don't have to put their actual combat readiness to the test.
Russia is an important geopolitical ally for China. Tension between them is not advantageous at this time.
Also, Americans love dunking on the Russian army, and while it maybe wasn’t as formidable as we thought, it’s still significant. It’s not as if it would be totally free.
Uhh, they're getting dunked on by their own version of Canada.
It would be a wipe, Russia has nowhere near enough people to defend siberia, kthey can't even defend a few hundred miles south of moscow.
So how many times did the US invade another country and won within a three days "special operation" time?
Winning has never been the problem, keeping the peace has been.
But running in and clearing out opposing forces on the field? We're amazing at that.
The only forces Russians are good at beating are civilians when they're driving tanks.
So that's how you guys completely whiped out the Taliban /s
We utterly destroyed them, but then they just ran and hid for decades in the mountains, and short of blowing up the mountains there's not a lot you can do.
Course, they killed 20x as many Russians, so at least our score isn't as bad. And the Russians were trying to wipe them out.
And the Viet Cong.
What for? Russia is already drifting into becoming a China's satellite state. Besides, there's another resource-rich, sparsely populated, 99.9% Asian country right by their border, with barely any security and which would've been part of China already if not for some weeb. If they are going for conquest, Mongolia would be the second target right after Taiwan, but attacking it would tip off Russia to go all in on defense.
The problem here is the amount of them and population density. Just one bomb dropped randomly somewhere in China would probably cause more casualties than the entire Chinese nuclear arsenal targeting the most populous Russian cities. And Russia has an order of magnitude more...
Mongolia is a democracy and NATO partner there's a chance that the west would actually care. Mostly though neither China or Russia are even trying to touch it because they prefer having a buffer state in between them that is not aligned to either, but has the diplomatic wherewithal to have good relationships with both.
Also it's a fucking desert plateau. There's a reason there's so few Mongolians. Few things grow there and practically nothing grows well, and there already is quite an issue with overgrazing because animal husbandry is pretty much the only thing you can actually do on the land. And who is to say that copper is going to be cheaper after you conquer the land? It's not like Mongolia would be unwilling to export. Even if you could do it for cheaper, still probably not worth the political headache. And sanctions.
Seeing how they were happy to meet Putin the other day, it didn't look like. It was like watching a dog meeting his master after a long time
They were also happy to not give permits for the Power of Siberia pipeline. They're 3.5m people on a gigantic piece of land right in between Russia and China, I don't blame them for appeasing: Their very existence hinges on convincing two authoritarian states that they're not a puppet of the other. In this case, also convincing them that they're not a puppet of what they're calling their third neighbours. They're doomed to neutrality.
Criticise any other country for not executing that arrest warrant, or at least uninviting Putin, heck while you're at it criticise a couple of alleged democracies that they're not a signatory: But not Mongolia. They have damn good reasons to not go through with it and as far as I'm aware, that's actually covered in the Rome statute. They're pulling the national security card and they're right about it.
Holy shit. Only 3.5 million people in Mongolia! I had no idea.
Blime the bloody baron's bio is a ride
You're right, nobody wants to defend it. There's nothing there worth defending. I mean, there's Vladivostok, but it's not really worth going to war over. They could take a sliver of land at the Russia/NK border so that they could build a port, but I'm sure they have no issue with river traffic as it is, or just trucking into North Korea to use one of their ports. I'm sure China funded their construction anyway.
First of all, if you're being invaded by an army planning to genocide your entire population, then you have no reason not to use every weapon in your arsenal. If the options are A: China kills 100% of your populace or B: Launch nukes and even 1% of your populace survives whatever follows, then B is the most rational choice.
Secondly, there's no reason to assume that states will make rational decisions to begin with. I'd say the current state of affairs in Ukraine is a very good example of that in action. So even if China wasn't planning to genocide all of Russia, even if it was some kind of "benevolent" invasion where they were going to tiptoe around the flower beds, gently pry Putin out of the Kremlin, and basically leave everything the same except that now Russians pay for groceries with renminbi instead of rubles... there's still every reason to imagine that Putin and his top brass would still launch nukes on the mere principle of the thing.
So no, let's not glibly plan for a fast forward on nuclear Armageddon, thank you very much.
The only thing of value in Russian territory is mineral resources, not the territory itself. China has vast, unpopulated territories (check a population density map). If they deem the minerals not worth the conflict, why bother? They can just buy whatever shit they want.
On a less deranged take, there's definitely potential to mend the Sino-Soviet split. Their interests and capabilities dovetail quite a bit, but I suspect unification is wildly impractical for any number of cultural and historic reasons. OTOH, if they presented a Warsaw Pact-style alliance, perhaps using the cudgel of mutually assured economic destruction instead of nuclear destruction, that's a hell of an act for the West to try to follow.
I would have much more respect for China if they used that as the bargaining chip to force Puttie to cut the shit and end this thing
The US would get involved, two advisaries attacking each other would give the US opportunities to leverage influence and destabilize. The dangerous thing is that they have nukes so there is a delicate balance when trying to destabilize while ensuring advance weaponry does not fall into the wrong hands.
Russia has kinda shitty land afaik. Not a ton of resources either, iirc. I believe a decent chunk of it is tagia forests and (soon to be) swampy permafrost zone. Not that much of china's land is great for stuff like farming either. Bragging rights, I guess, but other than the people, I think most land is of little use.
Ah, well you see, China doesn't have a casus belli to claim all of Russia. Of course, they might have deployed their foreign minister over to Fabricate Claims, but if so, they haven't had much success with it. The most they could take right now is a duchy or a county, and it's just not worth the Prestige penalty, or the costs of keeping their levies raised long enough to get their Warscore to 100%.
Most american shit I've ever heard.
Then they should prove us wrong. Whenever they're ready, we have nothing planned.
You mean nothing other than the 4 wars the US is involved in. It's cute that you think this is a good thing, most countries go for the healthcare and infrastructure.
Always room for more.
Could always pull a couple hundred billions from social security or something for another few Abu Ghraibs, am I right? You go get'em, Tiger
We already spent the money, shame to have it go to waste.
Just wish we could give the F-15s their due, truly let the eagles soar and do what they were born to do.
Because China has never had expansionist ambitions. I know that goes against hundreds of years of Yellow Peril tropes in Western media, but it's true.
China's history has been a cycle of ethnic Han states uniting into a larger ethnic Han state, and then splitting, and then re-uniting. As Han populations spread, those areas would eventually be integrated into China, but China had very little interest in annexing non-Han areas.
Before anyone asks, Tibet was unified with China when both areas were conquered by the Mongols. It wasn't an act of Chinese expansion.
And Vietnam was considered to be a Han area. The literate classes of Vietnam spoke Chinese and were culturally Chinese before being incorporated into the Han dynasty.
That's the most ignorant thing I've ever heard in my life.
No, of course they don't have expansionist ambitions, because they consider a large part of Siberia theirs, including Primosky Krai which was ceded by the Qing after the opium wars, they lost Korea and Taiwan in the Sino-Japenese War.
They want what every country that once owned 1 speck of sand beyond their borders 1000 years ago wants: "Repayment of past injustices!", just like Israelis want Israel and Jerusalem, Russia wants Ukraine and the other republics, Andalusia wants independence.
Sometime, long ago, their country was great, and they deserve it back, because the moment it had the largest borders was the right moment, and everything since then is an insult to their greatness.
Moscow to this day still considers itself heir to Rome, as stupid as that sounds, the greatest empire in history devolving into a bunch of drunk gangsters and pimps.
But it’s true.
This article was literally about China not wanting Primosky Krai, and the president of Taiwan asking why.
You didn’t read the article, did you?
No, they want it back, they've had discussions during the cold war and since.
He's saying they're not doing anything about it now:
He's saying Taiwan is just a noisy point to distract the domestic hardliners, which it is.
Russia is literally vulnerable now and 100% dependent on China, they could ask for it back if they wanted, but what China wants is the political issue.
No, they want the unification of ethnic Han states, which is why they want Taiwan and not Vladivostok.
Yeah well some of those "Han states" don't consider themselves "Han states" anymore.
So I guess they need to do something censored to themselves.
Or maybe India needs to unify all lands descended from Hinduism, including Buddhism in the east?
Everybody has an argument to do some moronic thing they want to do, because things will be the way they're supposed to be.
They should let Tibet and Xinjiang go, those aren't Han people, they shouldn't be a part of the great Han motherland.
I assume you must mean some place other than Taiwan, because Taiwan is still very much Han.
Maybe, but they don't want any part of that "Han Motherland" you speak of.
At least not while the CCP is anywhere but up against the same wall they put so many other Chinese.
I didn't say anything about a Han Motherland, so I don't know why you're using quotation marks.
And Taiwan does desire the reunification of Han areas. Under the government of the ROC.
Again, yes, but I think there's a lot of room to negotiate, the key sticking point is the CCP and that wall.
The main landers would probably be OK with that too, considering the CCP killed more Chinese than Genghis Khan, the only people on the planet who don't are the CCP
no they don't, they just want to be left alone.
the only reason the old constitution hasn't been amended is because China regularly threatens to start a full scale war if there's any amendment to reflect the current reality, they would call it a "declaration of independence".
What makes you think that's "the only reason"? Because some people on reddit said so?
because I live here, you drooling idiot
Anecdotes are not data. People's social circles are often echo chambers that don't reflect the entire population.