this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2024
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MeanwhileOnGrad
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This comment was in response to someone expressing regret about joining .ml if I recall correctly
Edit: I'm convinced all this guy does is camp out in front of his computer and wait for an excuse to abuse what itty bitty power he has.
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Have you been living under a rock and purposefully avoiding all the coverage of how Israel have been bombing these "open civilian corridors"?
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/10/16/middleeast/israel-palestinian-evacuation-orders-invs/index.html
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/14/gaza-civilians-afraid-to-leave-home-after-bombing-of-safe-routes
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-67114281
https://www.businessinsider.com/israel-airstrike-kills-women-children-fleeing-evacuation-route-northern-gaza-2023-10
Maybe you missed the news of how Israel have spent millions of dollars on killing more than 200 aid workers.
You claim intention is needed. What do you call intentionally shelling the "civilian corridors" they themselves tell people to use?
They trap them inside, and shell them continuously. More than a 150'000 people have died as just an indirect cause, being denied clean water, food, shelter and medical supplies.
https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2024/01/middleeast/gaza-hospitals-destruction-investigation-intl-cmd/
I'll give you a quick tldr; because I know to won't.
What do you think the intent is behind taking out hospitals? I think the intent is to deny medical aid to the hundreds of thousands civilian casualties.
By everything you yourself have stated. What they're doing is a genocide. Their intention is to exterminate the Palestinian people. Gaza will be reduced to rubble. Along with everyone in it. And after there's nothing left and no one can live there. Israel will sieze it.
This little port you think you can use as proof otherwise is nothing but bare minimum to try and make it seem like that's not what they're doing. Like a child pretending to cough so they can stay home from school.
Please be aware that Hamas is a terrorist organisation, meaning that they don't have a strict militia, and they often disguise themselves as civilians. So long as Hamas continues to hide in civilian infrastructure, legally, the IDF can continue these attacks.
The UN has told Hamas to stop this for decades, but it's fallen on deaf ears and is likely to continue.
Likewise, where is your evidence of the 150k figure? Isn't the figure 38-40k?
Estimations of indirect deaths varies of course since they are more difficult.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(24)01169-3/fulltext
The 150k includes these indirect deaths. Deaths from starvation, trampling, disease and sickness as a result of the war.
Not peer-reviewed, not relevant.
Don't use anything non-peer-reviewed as evidence. It's disingenuous.
We will not have any evidence until after the war is over and bodies can start being dug up from under the demolished buildings and infrastructure.
If you look at their wording they make it clear it's not "implausible" to believe the current toll including starvation etc is up towards or above 180'000.
Likewise the toll can be less than what it is currently. Your point has zero evidence, so stop saying that it's 180k. It's disingenuous.
Our only evidence is from the Hamas-run ministry, which says 40k. However, it's unclear whether or not they include their own forces as civilians, or even how accurate it is, considering they regularly make mistakes.
Gaza had an estimated population of about 2 million people.
We know that 35% of the buildings in Gaza is severely damaged or destroyed. Very little aid is reaching their target, hospitals are destroyed.
There is nothing disingenuous about me agreeing with them that it's plausible that an estimated number of deaths as a result from the war is up towards 180 thousand.
But it's not based on any evidence.
It is based on evidence.
Evidence that very little aid is reaching Gaza. Evidence that clean water is difficult to come by. Evidence that 35% of their builds are severely damaged or destroyed. Evidence from previous wars and how the population were affected by similar conditions.
With those points of data. Qualified people can make estimations of what they think the number of dead might look like.
But there is no evidence to prove the estimation is correct right until after the war is over.
What you want to say, is that there's no proof. Which is correct. There is no proof for the figure. Because again. It's an estimation. There is a war. We can't go dig up the bodies just yet
You're exactly like an antivaxxer. Ain't nothing going to convince you to stop using bullshit.
Too far gone for sure
"Hey, there's no evidence of that number."
Yikes, you really want to strawman this as hard as you can.
Not sure what you're quoting but it ain't me.
There is evidence to draw the conclusion that an estimate of 180k dead is plausible. Everything from the length of the war, the documented lack of aid reaching the region, the documented destruction of medical facilities to the The documented destruction of habital areas.
I understand fully that there are ~40k deaths reported from within. I think it's entierly plausible that the real number of deaths as an indirect cause of the war are far higher than that. Personally I think it's more than plausible. I think it's likely. But I'll stick with plausible just for you.
you are straw-manning though, like actually. You don't have evidence of 180k, absolutely nothing.
No. I'm really not. And as I've explained so many times. There are evidence available to make that conclusion plausible.
The word you are looking for is proof. But you not understanding the difference between evidence and proof is another issue.
https://www.thetower.org/article/the-lancet-how-an-anti-israel-propaganda-platform-was-turned-around/
The Lancet has been used by Hamas before. The death numbers are likely very off and purely fictional as there is no credible source for any of that.
Furthermore lancet doesn't let me fact check with spinscore so thats another reason to not trust them. (403 forbidden error)
You think that is an argument? "Hamas" have used it, that's it? Hamas has also been using H20 in vast quantities. You gonna stop drinking water too?
"Are likely very off and purely fictional", If you were capable of reading it yourself instead of just letting your little AI bot do it. You would know why and how they arrive at these estimates. Since they list their sources and references that lead to their estimates. and what they are attributed to
Keep telling that BS to yourself. Your links don't say anything about Israel bombing those corridors, that's because there is no evidence about that actually happening at all and the probability is rather that hamas did it.
The remaining comment is just bant old antisemitism in the cape of Israel critic without any proof, much framing/Desinformation and many feelings.
Yes. They do. If you actually read them you would know. For example. In the second link. It's explicitly stated in the first paragraph.
You must have "missed" that.
It's funny because any criticism you will drape it as antisemitism. The proof is so overwhelming. Bombing of safe routes, taking out hospitals as a first priority, little by little they are already reducing the strip to rubble. That's not me thinking they will. That's them currently doing it.
https://spinscore.io/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fworld%2F2023%2Foct%2F14%2Fgaza-civilians-afraid-to-leave-home-after-bombing-of-safe-routes
Maybe fact check stuff before using, i did wich is why i say no source says Israel did it. Even your source refrains from explicitly say that, however it is implied, this is nither verifiable nor likely as mentioned above and by the fact check.
And what makes you think "spinscore.io" is a bias free tool for fact checking or that they even check the facts at all? It's an "AI" of which you have no idea how it works or what it takes into consideration. As far as we know. It will suggest that you should put glue on pizza.
What gives "spinscore.io" any credibility at all?
Ah yes... Shure i tried to fact check it manually as well and couldn't find any information about these numbers that didn't come from the lancet, that's why i tried tu use a fact check. And that fact check algorithm is actually very accurate most of the time, there are errors because nothing is perfect, but its the most unbiased fact check i know, and thats why i tried to manually check beforehand, wich didn't have any results about the topic. Just that article i linked you.
And "As far as we know. It will suggest that you should put glue on pizza." is just complete mental diarrhea and shows you don't have any actual arguments.
No, your reliance on AI shows you have little to no understanding in what they are and how they work.
They state very clearly how and why they arrive at these estimations. You have so many references and articles that they link you to, to show you where they are getting the information to come to their conclusion.
You are really sitting there saying you don't know how to fact check an estimate. Do you understand what an estimate is? how we reach estimates? What might make them more or less probable?