this post was submitted on 14 May 2024
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I think you overestimate the US electorate's interest in foreign affairs. Or the US electorate's interest in politics in general. Some would flip, probably. But I doubt it would be as quick or as total as many here seem to think. It certainly wouldn't deliver the election to Biden in a landslide.
Let me relay to you a story, that I hope will shed some light on my position in opposition to that assertion. I have a friend, very liberal, as all my close friends are. His dad is, likewise, very liberal. On every major policy issue I've discussed with him, he's been decidedly left-leaning. Public assistance, taxation, infrastructure, education, foreign affairs.
Now, this was waaaay before the Russo-Ukraine War, so Russia was still just some weird far-off place with some ex-KGB guy at the head. No one was thinking anything more of it, but the issue of Russia and recent history and trivia came up, and I started talking about the Moscow Theatre Crisis (or maybe it was the Beslan Siege? either way), making some dark jokes about, you know, 40 terrorists, 100 hostages, 140 bodybags, mission accomplished, in a smarmy kind of way. We got to discussing it seriously, and he up and says that killing the hostages to get at the hostage-takers showed a 'strong leader'.
He was a well-educated guy. Went to college, had a technical job in his field. Reasonably sensitive, fairly liberal, pro-feminist, proud of his very independent daughter, anti-imperialist (when Iraq and Afghanistan were still on everyone's minds), pro-LGBT, very friendly and welcoming, a nerd with nerdy hobbies.
And he still said that showed a 'strong leader'.
Now, the purpose of this isn't to demonstrate some essential failing in my friend's dad - he's a very normal individual. But that's just the thing - many of us in modern society (and certainly much worse in past societies) are socialized to glamorize the most gruesome displays of power, even those of us who would otherwise fall on the more liberal side of things. Those who do not spend significant amounts of time pondering the philosophical implications of politics (ie the vast majority of the active electorate, much less the general population) easily fall into this trap, because it's so ingrained in our society.
If and when the general American population finds out more, many will turn against Israel - but a significant minority will take their brutality as a sign of strength. For the same reason that many in Israel who know the full story also take the brutality as a sign of strength.
I'm in total support of that. Hell, I'm in support of removing aid for the Iron Dome and like systems. But I'm also well-aware that even if Biden changes nothing from this moment onward, it's not worth intensifying the Palestinian genocide and starting a few new ones at home just to show the DNC what for.