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I wonder if he means that in the sense of "putting you in jail is only going to empower your frankly rabid base of supporters. I need to avoid even the slightest hint of a mistrial so we can put you in prison for good."
I mean I'm pretty sure that's it. There's no chance whatsoever this doesn't go to appeal if he's convicted, and you don't want the case to be overturned because the appeal court thinks the judge was biased against Trump
What does the judge think will happen should the jury returns a guilty verdict?
A jury of people selected (partly) by his own lawyers convicting him should be a lot easier of a pill to swallow for his base than a "Democrat" judge unilaterally deciding, on his own, to detain trump.
key word here is "should"
Honestly while Trumps legal team have been complaining about not being able to get a fair trial, that works both ways. I'm worried about enough MAGAts making their way onto the jury to nullify
Then the jury will be targeted instead of the judge, so he'd prefer that.