doo

joined 2 years ago
MODERATOR OF
[–] doo 19 points 1 week ago

If they're looking for a good location, Hague is just perfect.

[–] doo 2 points 1 week ago

Yeah, me too. Looks like this year will be make it or break it.

[–] doo 34 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

US' help was critical so far and when it was paused for six months Ukraine noticed.

On the other hand, when it was paused, Ukraine noticed, but didn't immediately fail. On top of that there were recent reports that Ukraine has enough supplies until summer. On top of that there Zelensky's statement that Ukraine is now producing up to 30% of what it needs in the battlefield. And on top of that, while US help was significant, the contributions from other countries were also nontrivial and many of them invested into increasing production.

So all in all, US' help was and stays important (even if it was quite often a little too late), but if it stops, I believe Ukraine can still win, but that will be quite bad for the States as Trump will not be able to claim this victory and also the military industry will lose quite a lot of advertisement when Ukraine wins with Owen, German, French, Korean or any other weapons.

[–] doo 39 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

And do it begins. Musk wants to become the new Hitler.

How soon till we start making time travel films about going back to stop him?

[–] doo 7 points 3 weeks ago

Not just opened by their military, but also apparently explicitly under sanctions.

[–] doo 4 points 1 month ago

Strict separation of work and personal devices, plus focus mode on my private phone for the work hours.

I often end up hyper focusing on the wrong work tasks, but at least they're work related.

[–] doo 5 points 1 month ago

My personal experience is that there's a direct correlation between my physical health and effectiveness of my ADHD medication.

My hypothesis is that since it's about my brain capability to register and prioritise stimuli, the busier said brain is (with other body issues) the less likely it is too perform executive functions. This might be the general case, but since we start from the unfavorable position, it might be more debilitating for us.

(I've no idea why I'm using such a fancy language rn. Apologies)

[–] doo 33 points 1 month ago (1 children)

So now they're going to conscript him?

[–] doo 2 points 1 month ago

Different stims have different effect. Also 6 weeks could be too early to settle on the dosage. With those three dosage is highly personal and not related with things like age, weight, etc. Heck, sometimes one might need a booster just because they're tired.

Good luck and congratulations with this small victory!

[–] doo 8 points 1 month ago

Fun fact. An average tenure for a CEO is 4 years. I will not be taking further questions.

[–] doo 9 points 1 month ago

That bad, huh? Good.

Traditionally the rulers in moscovia had seen speaking to the "people" as a disgusting necessity in times of crisis. And of course, there's nothing to brag about in times of crisis.

Thus the old soviet conclusion was that if a politician speaks, that's because things are bad. And since they will never admit a mistake, they will lie.

Thus this statement should be interpreted as "the food market is collapsing".

[–] doo 2 points 1 month ago

I suspect it's our moral duty to remind this as often as we can :)

58
sanctions work (open.substack.com)
submitted 4 months ago by doo to c/[email protected]
 

2.5 years to halve the reserves, the spend cannot be linear and I also don't think they need to get to zero to have a collapse.

... The economy is being funded by the cash reserves, which increases inflation, which leads to another round of interest rate hikes to combat inflation, which makes it harder to borrow money, which is necessary for economic growth. Eventually, the cash reserves will run out. It took 2.5 years to deplete half the Russian reserves. Russia withdrew $37 billion to cover deficits in December 2022. It withdrew $20 billion to cover deficits in December 2023. It only has $54 billion left.

136
submitted 5 months ago by doo to c/[email protected]
 

If anything, russia is showing clear signs of sunk-cost fallacy

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Escalation_of_commitment

 

In today's #vatniksoup I'll talk about Russian Nazis and introduce Russian neo-Nazi movements and paramilitary groups like Rusich and PMC Wagner. They're best-known for being funded by the Kremlin and being responsible for the "denazification" in Ukraine.

 

So basically, we're waiting for a (hopefully very soon) systemic collapse of moscovite army since they bet both their attack and defence on artillery

18
Russia's losses 30.06.2023 (s3.amazonaws.com)
submitted 2 years ago by doo to c/ukraine
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