this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2023
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edit: changed title from 'False Fukushima Fears' to 'Exaggerated Fukushima Fears', sacrificing my lovely alliteration as others have pointed out that it would be too much to say that the fears of radiation leakages are unfounded, but merely to say that this is the least bad option given previous precedent as cynesthesia has pointed out.

Image is of the large array of water storage tanks holding the tritium-contaminated water.

This week's preamble is very kindly provided by our beautiful poster @[email protected], with some light editing. In periods where not much of earth-shattering importance is happening in the news, I hope to do this more often!


In 2011, the Fukushima nuclear incident occurred. Since then, water has been used to cool radioactive waste and debris, which contaminates the water with radioactive isotopes. Currently, TEPCO, the Japanese energy company that is reponsible to Fukushima, is storing about 1.3 million m^3^ of contaminated water (equivalent to about 500 Olympic swimming pools for our American friends) in about 1000 tanks. Approximately 100,000 m3 of contaminated cooling water is generated per year to this day. TEPCO doesn't want to store escalating volumes of nuclear waste for decades until half-lives are spent. This would mean adding substantial storage capacity every year at increased cost and risk of tank spills.

The contaminated water includes heavier isotopes like caesium as well as hydrogen's isotope, tritum. Caesium is a big atom at 137 molar mass (we love our tremendous atoms, folks) while tritium is heavy hydrogen and has only a molar mass of 3 (pathetic, low energy). The TEPCO people are using water treatment to remove heavy isotopes from water, but not tritium. The large adult isotopes are easy to remove with treatment but tritium is incorporated into water, so it blends in with the others. The treated Fukushima water contains low levels of the big isotopes but still contains tritium.

Isotopes release radiation that damages the body's cells. The longer an individual molecule containing an isotope is in a body, the more likely it is that the isotope will go BRAZAP and release radiation that fucks up the cells. Bioaccumulation is a toxicology term for how certain contaminants can accumulate in the food cycle. For example, algae eat contaminants, then the algae is eaten by bugs, then bugs by fish, then fish by people. Isotopes that are bioaccumulative like our large adult son caesium are more hazardous. Tritium is not bioaccumulative because it is effectively part of water. Water cycles through bodies quickly - that's why you sweat and pee and get thirsty. spray-bottle

Fukushima water would be treated and then then mixed with seawater at a ratio of 1:800 before it is pumped 1km offshore. Each year approximately 166,000 m3 of treated water will be released, which will draw down the volume of contaminated water being stored over a few decades. Real-time stats associated with the release are found here. At the point of discharge, water contains about 207 Bq/L of radioactivity, about 16 times greater than the 10-15 Bq/L background level in the ocean overall. Drinking water guidelines for tritium radioactivity range from 1,000-10,000 Bq/L, if one were to drink seawater.

In wastewater treatment terms, this is a small amount of dilution in a very large body of water. It is unlikely to have any measurable impact per the terms of Western science. In the context of mother nature taking yet another one for the team and environmental distress, this sucks. In the context of making the best of a shitty situation, the Fukushima water release is peanuts compared to the many other environmental liabilities that are not addressed. For example, the Hanford Site is an example of a nuclear wastewater storage facility gone/going wrong in Oregon.


Ending note by 72: By far the biggest impact of the release of this water won't be its direct effects, but those on commerce and international relations. Almost half of Japanese aquatic exports go to China, comprising 8% of all Japanese firms shipping goods to China, and they have now been cut off due to their anger at Japan. Perhaps this reaction and the cancellation of imports was inevitable, as nuclear power and radiation in general is a poorly understood, frightening, and thus easily exploitable topic in every country. China is not the first country to use a misunderstanding of radiation risk to try and achieve a goal - Germany seems very pleased with itself - and they will not be the last.

In all: it is unequivocal that China is massively exaggerating the risks of this water's release. However, the bellicose rhetoric and actions of Japan, South Korea, and America are a much greater danger to the region, and none of the three seem to be in any hurry to try diplomacy instead of increasing military budgets and gearing up for war.


It's that time again - every two months I give myself a week off, to rest and recalibrate. Your regularly scheduled programming will resume next week.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


(page 8) 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (7 children)

Let's pretend that tomorrow, some kind of smart and pragmatic leadership were to take over the US and kick the neocons out. What's the best way they could respond to BRICS? Just wondering as a hypothetical.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The US created the Petrodollar, they should kill it while they still control it.

The way to "respond" to the BRICS is to cooperate with China and actualy put the US ahead of the renewable energy race. I don't want to make a cheesy comparison with the space race, but you can note that all these technologies overlap with a great number of industries and sectors of the economy, obviously as energy is the foundation of any economy and it gives capitalism a much needed new area of investment that can be translated to real world material goods. People call it the second industrial revolution etc I wont go into that.

The benefit here isn't just economic, the BRICS nations are still heavily invested into fossil fuels and the "best" way for western capitalism to compete here would be to make them irrelevant, to crash their energy export economies.

But it should be obvious here that the US itself is too heavily invested and dependent on fossil fuels and this wouldn't just be a change of leadership but a mini-revolution against big oil so I guess it invalidates the whole premise.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

If the US decided to rid the world of the Petro-dollar, wouldn't that undermine the ability to export debt and inflation to the rest of the world? Or at the very least, happily speed up the dedollarization that the Yanks are so afraid of. Sure it would massively hurt the petro-states in the Gulf, but presumably they could theoretically weather it if they got given international assistance in the transition periods.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

@JoeBiden After Vietnam, we learned how the harmful effects of exposure to Agent Orange took years to manifest in veterans, leaving too many unable to access care when they needed and deserved it.

The PACT Act means today's veterans and their families won't suffer those painful denials.

After the Holocaust, we learned how the harmful effects of exposure to Zyklon B took years to manifest in concentration camp guards, leaving too many unable to access care when they needed and deserved it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Suffer harder genocidal motherfuckers. Suffer suffer suffer

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

India vetoed Algeria BRICS+ entry at France's request: Report

Informed sources that spoke with Algeria's Dzair Tube say French intelligence contacted their Indian counterparts ahead of the BRICS+ summit to urge New Delhi into vetoing Algeria's entry to the bloc, describing the move as “revenge” for Algiers' growing influence in the Sahel region “at the expense” of France and as a way to slow down burgeoning ties between Algeria and China.

Tensions between Paris and Algiers spiked after a military junta ousted the French-backed government in Niger, in the latest example of a growing anti-west movement in the Sahel. Since then, Algeria has opposed an ECOWAS military operation in Niger, emphasized the role of diplomacy in bringing about a peaceful solution to the crisis, and refused permission for French military aircraft to fly over Algerian airspace.

The French plot took shape in the wake of a failed bid by President Emmanuel Macron to attend the summit in South Africa. India saw an opportunity in the request from Paris, as officials were reportedly offered western help to “fill the void” left in former French colonies that have recently risen against neocolonial rule and extend its influence in a vital continent for BRICS+.

While France has maintained close ties with successive Indian governments for decades – being the only European permanent member of the UN Security Council that supported India's nuclearization in 1998 – their relationship has grown closer under Macron, who in 2019 supported India's position at the UN over occupied Kashmir and has sealed multiple defense agreements with the South Asian nation.

...

Nonetheless, India's veto against Algeria led to a dispute with China during the voting process, which reportedly almost caused the “failure of the Johannesburg summit.” Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva also opposed Algeria's entry, according to Anadolu Agency.

China sees great potential in the North African country joining BRICS+ due to its massive fuel reserves, minimal national debt, and its strategic location between Europe and sub-Saharan Africa. China is also funding the rehabilitation of the strategic Port of El Hamdania, as Algeria remains an essential part of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Russia has similarly voiced its support for Algeria's entry to the Global South bloc, which last week formally invited Iran, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, and Ethiopia to join its ranks.

There's one part of me saying "Well, this is what realpolitik is all about, I'm just too used to countries having total subservience to the United States such that compromises like these are never made," and another part of me saying "The next few decades are going to be Russia and China trying to herd cats to weaken the United States and Modi and Lula and others like them are going to get in the way and we have to hope they can overcome them."

Again, I'm not really celebrating the new nations joining BRICS yet because it's not really clear what that means yet. It could be anything from "Leaders get together for nice photoshoots every year and get a little New Development Bank funding and that's it" to "They're going to form a new global financial system with oil markets and terminally weaken the United States." India and Brazil clearly want the former, Putin and Xi clearly want the latter. BRICS means something different to everybody; like, we see some nations (like Nigeriens in my other recent comment) waving BRICS flags to signal their support for an anti-imperialist challenge to Western hegemony.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Iran, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, and Ethiopia to join its ranks.

wait are they in brics already?

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/20993 - zelensky interview from yesterday. some telling quotes:

“It’s already clear that he [Putin] has not occupied us as he wanted. We did it, [we defended against his attack], this is already a great victory for the people,” the president said.

translation, we are having little or no battlefield success, so it's time to move the goalposts for victory from retaking crimea to existing as a country

Ukraine’s Western allies are hesitant to provide security guarantees to Ukraine, as they fear a direct confrontation with Moscow, Zelensky said, although he doesn’t rule out that it would be possible to reach an agreement with the United States:

incompatible with the following point

Ukraine expects to receive an invitation to join NATO in 2024, according to Zelensky. “If invited, there are countries that have experienced signs of not being welcomed by a member among the allies. Well, for example, our Swedish partners. An invitation is not everything, but it’s very, very close,” Zelensky believes.

sheer unadulterated cope. sweden is still knocking at the door. ukraine wasn't invited in vilnius and since then they've been utterly owned. ukraine is not getting invited in 2024.

Zelensky still hopes that there will be no hostilities in Crimea. He hopes liberation will take place by way of political pressure. “I believe that it’s possible to politically push for the demilitarization of Russia on the territory of the Ukrainian Crimea. That would be better. Any combat would still have losses [casualties], wherever it is. Everything must be calculated.”

again, walking back goalposts for victory with an implicit admission that crimea will not be taken with military means

Zelensky wants legislation that would officially equate corruption during the war with treason and the corresponding bill will be submitted to the Ukrainian parliament soon. “The legislature will be offered my proposals on equating corruption during wartime with treason. I understand that such a weapon can’t work permanently in the public sphere, but in wartime, I think it will help... We are developing a democratic society. And it’s very important not to turn the screws,” Zelensky said.

But he warned this isn’t the end, and the war could continue for a long time, highlighting Israel as a case study: “Israel is fighting. Seeing what kind of war that is.

cool, explicitly making a corruption law that won't function during peacetime and then using Israel and its 70 odd year war/occupation of Palestine as a case study

on elections:

And these elections must be organized and held also with the participation of allies. “The most important thing: let’s take risks together. The observers should then be in the trenches, they will need to be sent to the front line,” the president suggested.

what the heck does that mean? sending international observers to the 'risky' front line trenches? this is just incoherent coke logic

anyway, I take this article as a small but positive sign for ukraine pulling back on maximalist demands.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I'm going to take the adversarial position on Fukushima fears and point out that according to this paper published in Science, the variance of concentration of other radioactive isotopes is rather high between tanks... And while on average they do meet legal guidelines, there are tanks that exceed the legal limit for discharge. For what it's worth, the concentrations allowed for discharge also seem to not entirely be coupled with the bioaccumulation factor of these radioactive isotopes in fish... which isn't great when the goal is to avoid eating toxic fish with radioactive isotopes that will accumulate in the human body.

Plus, Tepco has a record of cutting corners in the name of profit and the Japanese government has a strong incentive to stop bleeding hundreds of billions of dollars into the cleanup... So the incentives aren't really lining up to give confidence in Tepco's ALPS system.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Full agreement.

Japan are yet again doing the thing they do where they act like mini America.

They are making guesstimates based on anecdotal data around proliferation of contaminants and bioaccumulation to absolve themselves of any continued financial expenses as you said.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I also agree, though I don't know if there is any way to make any knowledge-based decision here outside of "anecdotal data". It's just a first time ever that it happens. I'd prefer something like allow the slow dumping of the least contaminated containers and tracking fish or so (maybe grabbing plankton or whatever, idk I'm kinda scared of the ocean don't know how it works) to make it non-anecdotal first.

And of course only release what is under the then-determined level of radioactivity

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

Actual genuine Dronies wandering into Hexbear smuglord writing apologia for American war crimes

'Drones save lives'

'America is not an empire, sweaty'

Get your fresh slop comrades,

Edit: Better mobile link https://hexbear.net/post/448430

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

okay when were people going to tell me THEY'RE GIVING THE JAPANESE AIRCRAFT CARRIERS BACK

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I forget who said this (was it Ramaphosa at the BRICS summit?) - but there was a statement that countries will improve their economies by adding value to products before they are exported, rather than exporting raw materials.

I am wondering, is this really enough? It's obviously a step in the right direction. If a country develops its national productive forces so that different steps in supply chains are found within a country, this has obvious knock-on effects to the economy as a whole. But in the neoliberal capitalist world we find ourselves, I don't think this could be enough on its own. I'm thinking about Arghiri Emmanuel's unequal exchange theory or dependency theory in general.

Does the presence of China change things? Is the idea that BRICS+ countries would further nationalize their economies and develop entire domestic supply chains, and this is good only because they could export to non-western countries and avoid IMF debt traps etc?

Seems to me like the main difference between now and the 90s globalization is that exports would not be intended for the west, and the development would be created through national investment (or Belt and Road) instead of foreign capital.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Zelensky Crank that souja boy

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Zelensky tells @LindseyGrahamSC that he supports holding Ukraine's next presidential elections (due in March) but only if Kyiv's Western partners pay the $5-bil cost, send monitors to the front, and create voting infrastructure for refugees in the EU.

vote

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

We really are living in interesting times, huh?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Thank god for that at least, the neoliberal hellworld is finally beginning to fall apart

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Born too late to build the Soviet Union but born just in time to watch the empire burn

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

🚨🚨 Coup underway in Gabon and looks like it has mostly succeeded

Instability in Gabon even more damaging to French imperialism than Niger in a way. Niger has been battling instability for decades due to constant military shenanigans and jihadists swooping in and out. Gabon on the other hand has been extraordinarily stable under the military dictatorship of French lapdogs Omar Bongo and Ali Bongo. Omar Bongo was president for 42 years and did nothing but enrich himself, his friends and French companies. Infant mortality is shockingly high for example, while the oil boom money was used for a 800m presidential palace and mansions in the French countryside. When he died in 2009, power was transferred to his equally corrupt son Ali Bongo. The seeds of discontent were already planted in 2016, when Ali Bongo was reelected in a hilariously corrupt election and there were large protests across the country, which ended after a violent crackdown by the military. Good day for us Hexbears, an L for France is a W for humanity

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Has anyone else noticed an uptick in federated lemmy-users coming in to Hexbear threads and posting what I can only describe as a sequel to Mein Kampf when it comes to any news about the war? Like I figured most of the lemmy nerds had left, since they're redditors at heart and redditors can't keep themselves focused for more than a few minutes at a time.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

ADF Bushmaster rolls near Darwin, injuring seven Australian, East Timorese troops
Updated 36m ago

maiming exercise

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I have been tricked by a fake 72 trillion, keep your eyes out, they are silly and in the walls.

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