My money is on the guidance system since according to the article that’s an area they made a lot of changes to and we themselves concerned about.
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Sucks for them, will for sure delay future missions like Luna-26 and Luna-27. India's ISRO's Chandrayaan-3 is set to land near the lunar south pole.
I read a rumor that the Chandrayaan-3 schedule was part of the cause of the crash. Allegedly, Roscosmos knew their probe had a problem which would take time to resolve, but there was political pressure to hurry up and land before Chandrayaan-3 stole the spotlight. Seems totally plausible.
I imagine it yeeted itself into the moon TerminalMontage style