this post was submitted on 12 Oct 2024
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Key Takeaways:

  • Kamala Harris's underdog narrative: Harris frames her campaign as an underdog, despite polling better than Biden did before dropping out.
  • Close race dynamics: The election is tight, especially in swing states, with Harris underperforming in key demographics compared to Biden's 2020 performance.
  • Trump's flaws: Harris critiques Trump for his presidency’s economic policies, handling of the pandemic, and attacks on immigrant communities.
  • Voter demographics: Harris struggles with voters of color, young voters, seniors, and union workers; Trump has significant working-class support.
  • Arab American voters: Support for Harris has declined due to her stance on Gaza and unconditional support for Israel, leading to a potential loss of Arab American voters, especially in Michigan.
  • Policy shifts needed: The article argues Harris should adjust her stance on Gaza, support a ceasefire, and condition U.S. arms to Israel, which could sway Arab American voters.
  • Economic populism: Harris is encouraged to focus on class-warfare rhetoric and pro-working class policies, such as a $15 minimum wage, capping drug costs, and expanding Social Security, to win over lower-income voters.
  • Youth voter engagement: There's concern about low youth voter turnout and lack of outreach to young people of color, which could affect the election outcome.
  • Final campaign stretch: Harris is urged to take bold steps on economic issues and appeal to working-class voters, similar to Biden’s approach in 2020, to secure victory in key states.
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[–] [email protected] 48 points 3 weeks ago

Remember people: Polls aren't votes, make sure you vote!

[–] [email protected] 40 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Kamala Harris's underdog narrative: Harris frames her campaign as an underdog, despite polling better than Biden did before dropping out.

Socially, she's racially and sexuality disadvantaged considering that she's a woman of color and mixed race. She's going up against a billionaire celebrity with a cult-following. I think it's safe to call her an underdog.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 weeks ago

Also I don't understand this in the context of the post either.

First point "she's not REALLY an underdog, look at how she polls!"

Every other point "she is polling poorly in key demographics"

[–] [email protected] 19 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Everytime she moves right her numbers get worse...

But she keeps moving to the right, I don't know what she expects to happen.

If she wants to stop trump, all she has to do is move left to align more with Dem voters.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Yep, it's increasingly clear the collapse of the Republicans seems to have primarily accomplished pushing D further right. The Republicans invited all the crazies into their party and drove it into the ground, but somehow it's Progressives that are out in the cold as a result.

gg conservatives

[–] xmunk 9 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I, too, was hoping for a more progressive candidate to replace Biden that would excite the base more. At this point we've got little to do but hope and throw as much support as we can behind her.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Only if you think Kamala values her unpopular policy positions more than she wants to be at trump.

I'm voting for her, but she'll get more votes moving to the left, and I really really want to beat trump, so I'm going to keep making noise till the election.

Then I'm going to keep making noise, hoping she listens, because this shit doesn't just end after the election, or after she takes office.

If she keeps moving to the right we'll lose ground in the House and Senate, meaning she can't fix shit.

And four years later we'll be in the same spot, and her and the DNC will claim the only choice is being more conservative again.

So while I understand the frustration, this is bullshit:

At this point we’ve got little to do but hope and throw as much support as we can behind her.

You want to help Kamala beat trump?

Do anything you can think of that has the slimiest chance of pulling her left. As a bonus it'll help everyone living in America, and lots of people outside of it too

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

Only if you think Kamala values her unpopular policy positions more than she wants to be at trump.

I think Harris values beating the other guy and saving democracy more than all else at this point, and this is the reason why her positions have swung so rightward.

It's to the point that not only the rightie Liz Cheney, but even Dick Cheney, is able to vote for and endorse Harris.

I’m voting for her,

Me too.

but she’ll get more votes moving to the left,

Citation needed. And considering what's at stake, you better be able to provide strong evidence of this. (I've previously explained why we need moderate Republican votes to win and the reasons suck but we're not in a position to change it prior to this election.)

and I really really want to beat trump, so I’m going to keep making noise till the election.

Same here. I'll keep explaining why we need to join with moderate never trumpers to win this election.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

Everytime she moves right her numbers get worse…

Eh, I'd think most polls can't be trusted (remember in 2016 when polling said Clinton was sure to win?)

Except Nate Silver got it right in 2016, so following what he says, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

Last update: 2 p.m., Monday, October 14.
Harris 49.4% Trump 46.5%

I think this is a case of some Dems just getting jitters before the final lap.

But she keeps moving to the right, I don’t know what she expects to happen.

That she'll keep the Dem voters and win over the moderate never trumper Republican vote?

If she wants to stop trump, all she has to do is move left to align more with Dem voters.

A big key issue in 2020 was electibility. It's why Biden won back then over more leftie primary candidates, and why the 2nd place primary candidate (Sanders - whose leftie credentials are undeniable) was an old white dude.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I don’t know what she expects to happen.

What will happen is those who are upset she's drifted a bit right will vote for Trump who's miles further to the right, or they will proxy-vote for Trump by wasting their vote on a third party candidate.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

No, they'll just not vote like a third of the country always does...

Like, what's the negative to do what the Dem voter base wants?

Why only move to the right for votes, and how does that lead to anything but the country moving to he right.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

Like, what’s the negative to do what the Dem voter base wants?

Losing the moderate republican vote in places like the midwest and in battleground states - where Dems really need to win, due to the nature of the Electoral College.

Why only move to the right for votes,

To win of course.

and how does that lead to anything but the country moving to he right.

The government? Unfortunately it doesn't - unless we're able to get something extreme pushed thru like the 127 DC states plan.

But the country as a whole? If democracy prevails, they will move however they move and it'll be up to the politicians to respond to the new electorate. Kinda like how Obama's views on gay marriage evolved.

No, they’ll just not vote like a third of the country always does…

Well hopefully they'll still understand that democracy is at state and thus turn out for Harris, saving their protest non-vote for future cycles (when it's back to business as usual).

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago

"But she's fundraising so well!!!!!!!"