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Eh, I'd think most polls can't be trusted (remember in 2016 when polling said Clinton was sure to win?)
Except Nate Silver got it right in 2016, so following what he says, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
I think this is a case of some Dems just getting jitters before the final lap.
That she'll keep the Dem voters and win over the moderate never trumper Republican vote?
A big key issue in 2020 was electibility. It's why Biden won back then over more leftie primary candidates, and why the 2nd place primary candidate (Sanders - whose leftie credentials are undeniable) was an old white dude.