this post was submitted on 07 May 2024
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NHL Draft Lottery 2024 discussion thread (self.hockey)
submitted 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) by dandroid to c/[email protected]
7 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

Odds for No. 1 pick

Team Odds
San Jose Sharks 25.5%
Chicago Blackhawks 13.5%
Anaheim Ducks 11.5%
Columbus Blue Jackets 9.5%
Montreal Canadiens 8.5%
Utah (formerly Arizona Coyotes) 7.5%
Ottawa Senators 6.5%
Seattle Kraken 6%
Calgary Flames 5%
New Jersey Devils 3.5%
Buffalo Sabres 3%

Odds for No. 2 pick

Team Odds
San Jose Sharks 18.8%
Chicago Blackhawks 14.1%
Anaheim Ducks 11.2%
Columbus Blue Jackets 9.5%
Montreal Canadiens 8.6%
Utah (formerly Arizona Coyotes) 7.7%
Ottawa Senators 6.7%
Seattle Kraken 6.2%
Calgary Flames 5.2%
New Jersey Devils 3.7%
Buffalo Sabres 3.2%
Philadelphia Flyers 5.1%

Source

I also found this table, which I thought was cool.

Source

Results

Draft position Team
1 SJS
2 CHI
3 ANA
4 CBJ
5 MTL
6 UTA
7 OTT
8 SEA
9 CGY
10 NJD
11 BUF
12 PHI
13 MIN
14 PIT
15 DET
16 STL

Sharks win!

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 months ago (2 children)

(preds fan btw)

It would have been hilarious and terrifying if the Blackhawks got the first pick again. Connor Bedard is good but isn't good enough to carry the Blackhawks into the playoffs. Once the team gets built up around him though the Blackhawks are gonna be a top tier team.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago

I have no clue if this is a hot take or not, but the Hawks won't win a cup with Bedard. For the same reasons the Oilers won't with McDavid and the Leafs won't with Matthews. Assuming he develops as everyone expects, by the time they're competitive, Bedard's AAV is gonna be 12-15M (or whatever the equivalent cap % is when he signs his contract). You just can't have a full, well rounded team when paying a single player that much. The closest we've had to a generational talent winning the cup in the last 14 years was MacKinnon with the Avs, but he was making a solid 8M less than hhe was worth.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

I was ready for it

[–] dandroid 4 points 6 months ago (2 children)

As a Sharks fan, I am ready to be disappointed tonight.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago

Good luck! I actually did the math on how "lucky/unlucky" each team had been relative to the actual draft odds, and as I recall San Jose had been one of the least lucky so they are due! (Arizona/Utah had been even less lucky though)

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago

Same but justice was served

[–] dandroid 4 points 6 months ago

WOOOOOO!!!!!