this post was submitted on 25 Jul 2023
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Researchers have predicted the collapse of the AMOC could happen any time between 2025 and 2095 — far sooner than previous predictions, although not all scientists are convinced.

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What if...

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[–] [email protected] 194 points 1 year ago (15 children)

I'm so tired of living in a world of impending doom. This is hell.

[–] Enigma 74 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The phrase “may you live in interesting times” is a curse.

[–] [email protected] 28 points 1 year ago (3 children)

"Despite being so common in English as to be known as the "Chinese curse", the saying is apocryphal, and no actual Chinese source has ever been produced." - Wikipedia

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

"Exciting times, kiddo"

[–] [email protected] 60 points 1 year ago (9 children)

And they know how to fucking fix it but don't want to

It'd be like if in the movie Armageddon the government just said "Eh let's see if it really will be that bad if it hits us"

[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 year ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 year ago

That movie felt way too real watching it.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago (9 children)

Yes but without the part where they tried

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

This is because you're not sorting your recycling!

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Good news! Soon the doom won't be impending!

[–] [email protected] 28 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Have you tried being absurdly wealthy?

I haven't myself, but I hear it makes it all worth it.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago

It’s on my to-do list.

[–] [email protected] 26 points 1 year ago

I just long for a time when the conspiracy theorists are yelling about the end of the world and the scientists are running the country, not the other way around.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 year ago (5 children)

TL;DR: New statistical model suggests that the AMOC (including gulf stream) could collapse to the much slower pattern by 2025 to 2095. This is a century earlier than previous predictions and the researchers were concerned. There is some questions on the accuracy of the model used, and that needs more research.

Personally I don't think we should wait for further testing to vet the model before acting. Try to do better now.

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[–] spaysi 41 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

Well that’s pretty scary.. I mean, at least the scientists say that it’s more likely the current will just slow down rather than completely collapse? But then again, all the climate change models predicted a much more conservative timeline on when we would be experiencing the effects of climate change than what is actually happening in the real world now.. so idk, scary shit man ☹️

[–] [email protected] 37 points 1 year ago (3 children)

they also have admitted to only announcing the most optimistic results because nobody would believe them if they didn't, and if people did it would be devastating

[–] spaysi 13 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ugh, and of course because of that people have been dragging their feet on making necessary changes to the point of doing basically nothing anyway… I feel like the risk of people saying it’s too extreme maybe would have been worth instilling a sense of panic in people over climate change? Feels panic worthy to me

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[–] MonkCanatella 18 points 1 year ago (1 children)

If how conservative they've been in the past is any indication, this is going to happen next monday

[–] spaysi 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yeah, for real though considering they are saying it could happen anywhere from 2025 (wtaf) to 2095 (lol)

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[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 year ago (2 children)

We could try to vote people who will take action OR incentivize consumers to be more proactive BUT. Neither is ever going to happen.

I was having dinner with my brother's family and we were watching an interview with some celebrity that my sister-in-law adores. Dude is heavy in green activism and lists fast food places which are bad actors for climate and also farmers rights, etc. So my SiL announces we are never eating at such and such place again (I can't remember, I never eat fast food anyway). The very next night they order takeout from said fast food place. They also always order same day deliver from Amazon despite it never actually arriving same day, but they get packages every damn day. Tons and tons of packaging for crap they always throw out or give away to neighbors eventually. This isn't unique to them.

This is MOST of America and I suspect the rest of the developed world. We are effed.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago

cant elect people in america who would do anything, when we're busy trying to fend off full blown fourth reichdom by electing the least awful candidate each election.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 year ago

I posted this twice now.

But carbon taxes, externality corrections, cost of recycling plastic is in the cost of the product. Let the market fix it all. But no, people won't even agree to raise taxes on fuel

[–] [email protected] 31 points 1 year ago (8 children)

Goodbye Iceland my old friend.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 1 year ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 26 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I made a poster about this for an assignment when I was primary school, like 18 years ago. Ffs

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 year ago

We should have listened, but your poster was washed from the main stream media!

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 year ago

Title gore.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

As long as we finally get colder weather and snow in Germany again, I'm all for it. No, not really because it's horrible but I try to see the positive things.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago

You might like the weather but you'll have some issues with an utterly collapsed food chain

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

If anyone wants to read more about AMOC, here is a description from NASA along with the NASA illustration that was in the article:

June 5, 2023

BRIEF: As the ocean warms and land ice melts, ocean circulation — the movement of heat around the planet by currents — could be impacted. Research with NASA satellites and other data is currently underway to learn more.

Edit: climate.nasa.gov is fantastic for this kind of stuff, btw. They have tons of data from their satellites you can download, visualizations, videos, charts, graphics, tutorials...just all sorts of things. It's very cool.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago (1 children)

did we see this movie already?

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Let's make another one! Except this time make it a documentary!

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago

I can remember a time when elon musk was still saying smart things... like if there's even a 1% chance of it destroying the planet. We should do everything to avoid it.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago (1 children)

insert meme of sitting inside house burning down "this is fine"

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

What would this result in, if this happens?

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

I asked Bing chat a similar question. Here the sobering answer:

The Gulf Stream is a crucial system of ocean currents that plays a vital role in Earth's climate. If it were to collapse, the consequences would be significant and abrupt. Some of the potential consequences include:

  • Fast sea level rise in the Atlantic¹
  • More extreme winters in Western Europe¹
  • Disruptions to monsoon systems in the tropics¹
  • Greater cooling and more powerful storms across the Northern Hemisphere¹
  • Severe disruption to the rain that billions of people rely upon to grow crops in Africa, South America, and India¹
  • Extreme cold to Europe and parts of North America¹
  • Raised sea levels along the U.S. East Coast¹
  • Endangerment of the Amazon rainforest and Antarctic ice sheets¹

It is important to note that scientists are warning that the Gulf Stream could collapse at any time². The shutdown of this ocean current could lead to serious consequences globally, impacting heat and rainfall distribution². A major Atlantic current could collapse by midcentury as a result of climate change, prompting extreme cold in Europe and sea level rise along the eastern coast of the U.S., according to a study³. It is crucial that we take action to prevent this from happening.

(1) Gulf Stream: A crucial system of ocean currents is showing signs of .... https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/06/world/climate-gulf-stream-collapse-warning-study-intl/index.html.

(2) The Gulf Stream could collapse at 'any time'. https://www.msn.com/en-au/weather/topstories/the-gulf-stream-could-collapse-at-any-time/ss-AA1elwYA.

(3) Atlantic Ocean currents system could collapse this century from climate change: study. https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/4118630-atlantic-ocean-currents-system-collapse-climate-change/.

(4) The Gulf Stream Is in Danger of Collapsing as Early as 2025. https://www.theinertia.com/environment/gulf-stream-collapse-2025/.

(5) Gulf stream could collapse as early as 2025, study suggests. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/25/gulf-stream-could-collapse-as-early-as-2025-study-suggests.

(6) Scientists Are Warning of Gulf Stream Collapse | Futurism. https://futurism.com/collapse-ocean-currents-freeze-north-america-europe.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 year ago (2 children)

So nothing major right? Business as usual.

[–] Elderos 13 points 1 year ago

I don't know about the former, but yes to the latter.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

Those are all the problems for places that don't get the heat the AMOC moves. It doesn't list the problem for the places where that heat doesn't leave.

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