this post was submitted on 27 Feb 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

it's still too early to call bro polls aren't accurate this far from November bro

[–] [email protected] -4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

They are when you track them over time. In each of these states, support for Trump is growing, not shrinking.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (2 children)

Maybe, maybe not. You sound very confident in Trump. I'm not.

Sure, there's a risk Trump will somehow pull out a win in the electoral college. But I don't think he's the favorite by any stretch of the imagination.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

Assume he is and act accordingly. Otherwise we'll ll have the the rest of our lives to regret it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Well, I've been following the polling in these states for several months now and I've watched them go from 1/2 Biden 1/2 Trump, to all Trump by a couple of points, to all Trump by 5 to 6 points.

The momentum is definitely with Trump at this point.

Can he maintain it? Dunno.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Dude, we've all been watching. And everyone knows that it's going to be close. It always is. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to predict that. It's also way too early to conclude anything from polling.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The whole point is following the trend line. If the trend continues, it's important to have been following it as soon as possible.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

You can find any trend you want in statistics. The only trend that matters is on election day.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago

And by the time you can report on that, it's far too late to do anything about it.

Which is why you follow the trend line now.