this post was submitted on 30 Jan 2024
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After 33 years and four children, Baby Boomers Marta and Octavian Dragos say they feel trapped in what was once their dream home in El Cerrito, California.

Both over 70, the Dragos are empty nesters, and like many of their generation, they’re trying to figure out how to downsize from their 3,000-square-foot, five-bedroom home.

“We are here in a huge house with no family nearby, trying to make a wise decision, both financially and for our well-being,” said Dragos, a retired teacher.

But selling and downsizing isn’t easy, appealing or even financially advantageous for many homeowners like the Dragos family.

Many Boomers whose homes have surged in value now face massive capital gains tax bills when they sell. This is a kind of tax on the profit you make when selling an investment or an asset, like a home, that has increased in value.

Plus, smaller homes or apartments in the neighborhoods they’ve come to love are rare. And with current prices and mortgage rates so high, there is often a negligible cost difference between their current home and a smaller one.

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[–] [email protected] 65 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Feels like the crux of this whole thing is that housing shouldn't be an investment.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago

Good luck changing that. Housing has been a promised vehicle for wealth growth to multiple generations.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago (4 children)

How could it be changed so it wouldn't be?

Land is mostly a set resource with new developments and cities slowing. Home development follows land and while there's been a boom, overall it's been slowing. As there are more people, demand for housing increases.

All of this drives cost of homes up. So the longer you are in a home, the more it and/or the land it worth. Usually outpacing inflation. So when you sell, it's worth more. It's an investment by default even for those people who own 1 normal-sized single family home. It was an investment even when housing prices were reasonable decades ago.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Everytime people talk about "the market" i realize its become a religion. The market doesnt magically do shit. The market doesnt just happen. We can make the market do any damn thing we choose because the market is actually............people.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 months ago

A-fucking-men.

"The market" sets wages. My ass, the market is Billybob greedy asshat saying "I won't pay more than this." Then Timmyjoe fuckwit says "well the market has spoken, it would be stupid of me to pay more when Billybob is only paying x"

And for you theorists out there "supply of labor will affect wages" let me introduce you to the new excuse: "No OnE wAnTs To WoRk AnYmOrE!" Can't hire at the shit wage that's out there? Just complain no one wants to work!

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 months ago

This comment is essentially commodity fetishism ELI5'd and I love it

[–] [email protected] 9 points 6 months ago (1 children)

How could it be changed so it wouldn’t be?

I watched a video a while back that talks about how in Tokyo housing is seen as more of a consumer good than an investment, and explains why:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d6ATBK3A_BY

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Interesting. So there's 2 main reasons and 1 knock-on effect on why Tokyo (not Japan, just Tokyo) has affordable housing.

  1. They build a LOT of housing. Tons of dense housing which most other countries don't match.
  2. 55% inheritance tax, no exemption. Meaning generational accrual of wealth from houses can't happen.

The first one is achievable nearly everywhere and would be quite popular. Except with those who already own homes. Building high-density housing will lower housing prices for those nearby. The video covers this well.

The second isn't going to work in the US. Homes are the #1 generational wealth is accrued and how people rise in economic standing. From paycheck-dependent to stable, etc. Trying to take that away without some other way to build wealth and especially without a national retirement system is going to be deeply unpopular.

Another aspect I found very interesting: Tokyo demolishes and rebuilds every house on average every 30 years. That's wild to me. They build for safety but not longevity. No one wants a pre-owned house. Couple this with the inheritance tax and I imagine most older people will just sell their homes or pass down only a small amount. Japan's Public Pension System makes this feasible as well and without that I can't see this becoming viable in America.

I also wonder how wasteful that kind of demolition ends up being.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

Extremely wasteful - and that's to say nothing of the obvious climate impacts from said waste. It's one hell of a drawback to what I would otherwise describe as a system that works pretty well.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Public housing would be a step in the right direction

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago (1 children)

We've had that in the US and they're referred to as "the projects."

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

That it was an abject failure of an idea and most of these places were torn down. I'm not arguing that public housing is bad but I don't think we're capable of implementing it in a good way here in the US.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago (1 children)

It could be changed to penalize or disincentivize people from owning multiple homes through taxes. Like maybe tax the shit out of anyone that owns more than two in order to allow the middle class the chance to purchase a rental property but stop the ultra wealthy from from buying up entire neighborhoods.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

The way my town does it is everyone pays the same rate, but you get a huge exemption on your primary home, so effectively higher taxes on investment properties

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

Or build more apartments maybe? The entire housing crisis in the US could be easily solved by adding sufficient apartments in the right places.