this post was submitted on 27 Oct 2023
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[–] [email protected] 33 points 10 months ago (2 children)

It's kind of crazy that pretty much every assumption Putin had about invading Ukraine turned out to be wrong.

[–] [email protected] 40 points 10 months ago (1 children)

It's the dictator trap.

See, they live in a distorted reality, because advisors who don't tell them what they want to hear, are often no longer their advisors. Sometimes they simply no longer are.

The second part of the dictator trap is loyalty. Fear does not engender loyalty. Fear leads to greed. So with people actively lying to the dictator, they see it as given that they will skim a little off the top for themselves. For any unexpected retirements that they have.

The dictator knows that his people are crooked, but he also knows that he would not be the dictator without them. So he trusts that he has eyes on everything, but then he cannot actually trust his advisors to tell him the truth, because of part one of the dictator trap.

And this cycle just feeds back into itself endlessly.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago

That's very well put

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Tom Clancy though?

Man doesn't miss.

(Not counting all the misses)

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

That's pretty great actually