this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2023
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[–] [email protected] 16 points 11 months ago (2 children)

You do realize that this is likely to become a 3 front war. Lebanon in the north. And Bibi has to cowtow to his settler base in the West Bank.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I could definitely see that, Israel has not been shy about invading Southern Lebanon in the past.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_Southern_Lebanon

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago

Also, a united military front won't protest, rebel or put Benjamin Netanyahu in jail.

[–] xmunk 6 points 11 months ago (1 children)

And one of those fronts will effectively be with iran. You seriously don't want to fuck with the resources they have to throw into war.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 11 months ago (2 children)

I wonder whether Iran can actually spare an outright war. There is clearly a lot of anti-government energy flowing in Iran, and that won't have been stamped out by their crackdown on it.

I wonder whether most everyday Iranians would support a war with Israel.

Granted, it's not likely Iran gets directly involved - they'll just drive their Hezbollah prop.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago

I wonder whether Iran can actually spare an outright war. There is clearly a lot of anti-government energy flowing in Iran, and that won’t have been stamped out by their crackdown on it.

I guess it depends on how much the "helping our fellow Muslims" stuff works. I know it would in Egypt at least.

[–] xmunk 3 points 11 months ago

Iran wouldn't need to radically shift their budget... the revolutionary guard gets buckets of oil money and maintains a constant high state of readiness.