this post was submitted on 13 Oct 2023
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Rep. Steve Scalise is dropping out of the speaker’s race after House Republicans failed to coalesce behind him in the aftermath of Kevin McCarthy’s historic ouster.

House Republicans met behind closed-doors for more than two hours Thursday afternoon, where the Majority leader urged his detractors to explain their opposition to him in front of the conference. After the meeting ended, Scalise huddled with those opposed to him in his office. And Republicans scheduled a second members-only conference meeting for Thursday evening.

But the opposition to Scalise as the next speaker only grew Thursday, with roughly 20 Republicans publicly opposing him. Scalise needs a majority of the House to be elected speaker, meaning he can only afford to lose four votes.

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 11 months ago (1 children)

And he was the frontrunner. The only other person running was Jordan, with way less support.

With how fractioned the House Republicans are right now, Democrat support for Hakeem Jeffries technically makes him the frontrunner right now even without the majority.

Not that that matters, since a majority is needed. It will make next month and the expiry of the 45 day budget bill extension interesting if there's no Speaker to even bring it to a vote.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

How many Republicans would be to vote for Jeffries? Seems like about 15-20 Democrats would need to support Scalise for him to get the vote.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Exactly. Less than a hands worth are needed to flip things the other way. Let's hope there's still enough Tuesday-type Republicans to get that to happen.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 11 months ago (2 children)

The republican party is currently an optics nightmare. I don't have words for how awful the optics will become if the government shuts down and they don't even have a speaker. Republicans LOVE blaming democrats for shutdowns even though it's always republicans that refuse to negotiate, but this time it will be truly 100% on them, and unavoidably so.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 11 months ago

I don't doubt for a second that they won't still try to blame Biden somehow. As we've seen with Fox News, it doesn't need to be true, they just need to repeat it enough times and people will believe it's true.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 11 months ago

Republican leadership seems to know now that it doesn't work, and they get the majority of the blame.

The party is in an existential and optical nightmare. Polls show the Republican base fairly split on McCarthy's removal. I think it was something like 37% approving. McCarthy was an incredibly tenuous compromise candidate, and everyone knew he wouldn't be able to govern without that gavel going away.

McCarthy was just a bandaid on a festering wound, and now Republicans are paralyzed to address it.