this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2023
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submitted 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

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[โ€“] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's much easier if you reframe the problem:

Someone says they've built a machine that can perfectly predict what you will do. Do you believe them?

If so, take one box.
If not, take both boxes.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

But even if you don't believe them, it's got a 50% chance on a coin toss.

[โ€“] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Regardless of whether the machine is right, if you don't believe it can perfectly predict what you'll do then taking both boxes is always better than just one.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Yeah, at least you'll have an extra box to keep your stuff in.