this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2023
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[โ€“] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

I'd take both boxes.

We've been given no information on the accuracy of the machine's predictions. Therefore, we have to assume it has just as good of a chance of being wrong as being right. There's essentially a 50/50 chance that box B has $1,000,000,000 regardless of my choice, so I would choose the option that at least guarantees the smaller prize while still giving me the same chance at the larger prize.