this post was submitted on 02 May 2025
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[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Moscow is at just slightly too high of a latitude to be hit by it. It should land somewhere between 52 degrees north and south latitude.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 13 hours ago

For anyone else also curious where it might land, I found this write up from 2022, by Marco Langbroek (A Lecturer in optical SSA at the Aerospace Faculty of TU Delf):

With an orbital inclination of 52 degrees, the Kosmos 482 Descent Craft could come down anywhere between 52 degrees north and 52 degrees south latitude. This includes much of south and mid-latitude Europe and Asia, as well as the Americas and the whole of Africa and Australia. Of course, the biggest chances are that it will land in one of the oceans, as the failed Phobos-Grunt Venus mission did on January 15, 2011.

Illustrated in this image from Live Science.

Google Earth also offers a really good view, if you enable Gridlines in the Layer feature in the bottom left.