politics

I mean, our government’s track record fighting guerrilla insurgencies isnt spotless.

Ah. I see. So you and your militia buddies are going to escape to the mountain caves of... Chicago?

Also, we hunted and murdered many terrorist cells based on something as simple as a magazine on a desk. There is an entire genre of Influencer built around playing "geo guesser" to track things to within a 5 meter radius based off a single picture.

And that all ignores just how many cameras there are in this country. They won't need to wait until a satelite is overhead to have Abby and McGee hack your location. They'll just run a simple algorithm that will track you via all the traffic cameras and then tell Ubiquiti and Google to give them doorbell cameras to track you back to your house in the suburbs. This is why basically anyone with half a brain is strongly opposed to police chases. All it does is escalate the situation and increase risk to civilians. Instead? Just track them and roll up on them when they go to sleep that night.

At which point, we are back to what the "right to bear arms" actually gets you. Time for a bit of a history lesson!

Back when the Constitution was written, muskets were the name of the game with the new hotness being rifled barrels that gave a bit more precision to those. And, as America learned first hand, a well trained military could borderline handle an order of magnitude more poorly trained farmers (the opening battles of the US Revolutionary War are actually really fascinating for how unstoppable the Redcoats were). So if a group got too uppety? Send in the military and they would break.

Fast forward to The Wild West where people had revolvers, lever actions, and even some semi auto weaponry. That was incredibly useful for letting law enforcement ignore large swathes of the country ("You have the right to bear arms. You defend yourself") and had the added benefit of giving Pinkertons and the like legal justification. And, again, when people got too uppety: Heavily armed "US Marshalls" and the military were called in to put them down.

There WAS a brief window where small groups of (generally military trained) individuals with Thompsons and BARs were a significant threat. But shortly thereafter the modern AR-15 style assault rifles were "invented" and trained military (and snipers) once again could dominate any actual clash.

Because people think this is going to be Die Hard where they walk up to the leader of the fascists and exchange quips before quick drawing, killing one guy, and winning the war. The reality is that we are looking at police tanks ramming through walls, buildings getting riddled with machine gun fire, and explosives raining down if things get too "risky".

People think of when those rednecks took over Malheur a few years back and think that is how it will play out. That only worked because it was white people that the cops like. What they SHOULD look at is things like Waco where the government decided "Fuck it, we ball" and unloaded and massacred dozens of children while showing just how little the second amendment matters.