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this post was submitted on 19 Jan 2025
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This has happened before. GUI tools were going to mean less developers with less cost, but it didn't materialize. Higher level languages were going to cause mass layoffs but it didn't really materialize. Tools like WordPress were going to put web developers out of business, but it didn't really. Sitebuilders like Wix were going to do it, too, but they really haven't.
These tools perform well at the starter end, but terribly at the larger or enterprise end. Current AI is like that. It can help better than I think people on here give it credit for, but it can't replace. At best, it simply produces things with bugs, or that doesn't quite work. At worst, it appears to work but is riddled with problems.
I genuinely believe AI isn't over hyped in the long run. We're going to need solutions to fix our current way of work. But I feel confident it's still further away than the people investing in it think it is, and they're going to be paying big for that mistake.
And the small companies will realize that you need to start investing in your QA again - because NO ONE does adequate QA any more. Every piece of software I interact with these days is shit. If you are a developer, I'm talking to you: your code might be great, but the overall product is shit because no one is adequately testing the functionality. I get it, Testing is expensive... but now that you need fewer developers, hire some QA engineers. Just because we've moved on to 'continuous improvement' doesn't mean we can't do better.