this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Did you just skip over the Pew study?

For that rabid support, she'll lose far more support from pro-Israel PACs, and pro-Israel communities. These losses would far outweigh the gains she'd get from progressives, none of whom are going to vote for Trump anyway. Trump's even more pro-Israel than Kamala; a pro-Palestine voter would have to be a utter moron to not recognize that Kamala is a better option for Palestinians than Trump. She may keep sending Israel money, but at least she's not actively telling Israel to go ahead and start building gas chambers.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Which one? I see one study saying only 13% of dems have any confidence in Bibi.

To be clear. I'm not suggesting Biden should turn on Israel, he won't. I'm suggesting he threaten to cut support to Israel unless Bibi stops doing a genocide. If you can find me a study that says most americans don't support a ceasefire then maybe I'll change my position.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Yeah, fair. There are a lot of data points in there, and it really depends on how you squint at the results.

Maybe you're right about public opinion. I do still believe that if the AIPAC decided to, say, throw their weight behind Trump, and withdraw contributions to Democrats who sided with cutting support, that it would be a huge advantage to the GOP. They've spread something like $24M in this 24 election cycle, alone; they have an outsized influence on local elections, backing pro-Israel candidates in primaries. With such a tight race, that's a dangerous gamble.

But perhaps I'm overestimating their influence. I know the Jewish community in the US is more divided on Israel's invasion than they usually have been. Still, this election is the most important in my long lifetime, and I'm being quite risk adverse.