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‘Every 0.1C’ of overshoot above 1.5C increases risk of crossing tipping points - Carbon Brief
(www.carbonbrief.org)
this post was submitted on 02 Aug 2024
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And so far, renewables have just let us use even more energy each year. I bet 2024 sets a new record for emissions. We won't cut emissions until we are facing a shortage of fossil fuels or our population declines from climate change. It's a race to see which will happen first.
Through 2023, renewable growth wasn't yet fast enough to force a cut in emissions. That potentially changed this year
Yep, we'd need something like the Covid lockdown(s) but over several decades.
Last year Germany had a 10% reduction in emissions with a 0.3% decline in GDP. German GDP dropped by 3% due to the 2008 financial crisis. So oversimplified maths says a fairly noraml recession is enough to solve it. The investment into green technologies necessary to maintain a or enable a good material quality of life for everybody would boost the global economy a lot. Obviously there would be regions doing much worse, but others would do a lot better.
Most of what made the panedmic so bad, was the lack of social interactions. That is not a problem in terms of emissions. What is, is commuting to work.
This is exactly the calculation China made as they've positioned themselves to be the region doing a lot better. If everyone would realize this and fight for their slice of the pie, we'd be doing a lot better.
I will only believe when I see the data