this post was submitted on 07 Jun 2023
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Although there's a lot of protesting going on over at Reddit right now, I really don't think it can be compared to twitter. 6 months from now, I doubt things will be all that different at Reddit. A small number of users (relatively speaking when compared to their total number of users) will leave, and that's probably it.
That's my guess. I started on old Reddit 10+ years ago, but now use only the first party apps. They're clunky and sluggish, but good enough if you just want your doom scrolling fix.
I'm glad this drama alerted me to Lemmy, though. I probably would have joined one sooner had I known about them.
But.. why
Don't forget that Reddit has invested almost nothing into good moderation tools, and most medium to large subreddits use third party tools (that use the API) to moderate.
This means moderating a subreddit will either be extremely difficult (by using the official apps and website), or moderators will literally have to pay reddit to moderate a subreddit. For larger raids or groups of spambots, those costs will quickly add up.
I think things will be very different on reddit after the change, although still not entirely comparable to twitter.
Reddit has announced they are making an API access exception for apps devoted to accessibility. They will have to do the same for moderation tools.
idk, if all the 3rd party apps can no longer afford to keep running, they'll either need to shut down or switch to Lemmy, and those apps have many many users
honestly would be pretty insane to open up RIF (or whatever 3rd party reddit app you use) and there's an announcement saying this is a Lemmy app now lol, I wonder how many users that could pull
Is that legal? or if not illegal, is that allowed by the play/app store?
Seems against the rules to just build up a user base for Site A, and then flip a switch behind the scenes to now serve all data from Site B.
What they can do, is just put a notice to download their new LIF (lemmy is fun) app when you open the RIF app. Kinda like what Tweetbot did. When you opened their app, it talked about getting a refund, or asked if you wanted to transfer your pro subscription to Ivory for Mastodon.
I'm fairly sure that much traffic would smother Lemmy
They could make their own instances, but idk how much money those apps pull in
Depends on whether Reddit deletes NSFW content once they go public