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Of course it's not a certainty but there is a significant probability. And that probability increased with the supreme court ruling granting blanket immunity.
Trump is a criminal, and SCOTUS just declared that nothing he does is a crime if he's President. There are many scenarios where things get violent, he orders the military to do crazy shit and part of the military wants to follow his order while another part refuses.
There's this thing where normally surprising court rulings result in a lot of breathless over reaction from the public, while serious legal commentators are going "Guys, no, it doesn't actually work that way, it's not nearly as bad as you think."
The Trump immunity ruling is the only time I've ever seen those serious legal commentators saying "Holy shit this is so much worse than you think." People are seriously underestimating just how bad this really is.
Yeah I was expecting Legal Eagle to put out a video outlining what a President can and can't be prosecuted for. Instead it was "we're fucked."