this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2024
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According to a different article I was just reading, sounds like the 2030 isn't a hard date and it may be extended if commercial stations aren't ready to go:
Source: https://www.space.com/nasa-spacex-international-space-station-deorbit-vehicle
Part of why the commercial stations won't be ready is because the ISS won't commit to a deorbit date, so they can't predict the market!
2030 should be the absolute latest, or the leaks on the Russian side will take the whole thing down.