The Book of Why by Judea Perl
TheFutureIsDelaware
joined 1 year ago
Aliens very obviously exist. Life evolved on Earth. The idea that it has never done that elsewhere is ridiculous. The question is how spread out they are in both time and space. The fact that we see no clear evidence of them points to "very spread out". But it could just be complex life, or intelligent life that is rare, which is why we look for much fainter signals that we'd only see when specifically looking, like with JWST. Either way, they exist. Whether that existence has any relevance to yours is up for debate.
But they have definitely never visited Earth.
Yeah but like we have an ability to surgically remove specific concepts from ai “knowledge”
I think you're overestimating our ability to do this, especially with more and more capable AIs. For a few reasons.
Prediction requires a good world model. Every thing you leave out has the potential to make it worse at other things.
It would be very hard to remove everything that even vaguely referenced the things you don't want it to know. A sufficiently capable AI can figure out what you left out and seek that information out. Especially when it needs to reason about a world in which TAI/AGI exist.
Mesa-optimizers. You never know if you're removing the capability, or the AI is letting you think you removed the capability.
ChatGPT is a product from OpenAI that leverages their models. Anything that isn't literally "ChatGPT" is not ChatGPT-based. There is a chat endpoint that can be used through the API, but it isn't "ChatGPT".
lol "we're dedicating 20% of our resources towards the single most important problem in the history of humanity". The fact that they are willing to put "We think super-intelligence could arrive this decade" and "we're dedicating 20% of our resources to alignment" is mind-blowing. It might as well be "we think human extinction is inevitable but stopping it would be expensive".
The entire world is filled with so much information absolutely everywhere. Everything is constantly leaking it out, blasting it in every direction. One of the most worrying potential capabilities that could rapidly emerge in AI is collecting and finding patterns in this information.
Look at examples of side-channel attacks for computers, and then realize that AI has the potential to have side-channel attacks for... everything. It's pretty scary how much you can narrow down guesses when you have a few pieces of information. Using WiFi to learn about a physical space is just the surface.
I've honestly just started using Perplexity as my primary search engine. If I'm basically using search as a way to avoid typing a URL, then I use ddg with a prefix.
No they don't. And you genuinely do not understand the gulf that evidence would have to overcome for aliens to be more likely than literally any other explanation for any phenomena you're talking about. Including explanations that require extremely unlikely coincidences. Because coincidences happen. But if aliens have visited Earth, that requires an unbelievable amount of observations about the universe to be explained. And truly, the evidence to overcome that would be MORE than a good video. And we don't even fucking have that. It's pathetic how people act about UFOs and aliens.
The fact that it's always bad evidence, or indirect evidence, should tell you that it's always the same bullshit. If you believe it, it's because you want to, not because there's the tiniest reason to.