this post was submitted on 03 Jan 2025
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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[–] iAmTheTot 53 points 6 days ago (1 children)

If one president can permanently ban it, the next can permanently allow it. As if Trump cabinet will care about law, anyway.

[–] [email protected] 46 points 6 days ago (3 children)

It is based on the 1953 Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act, which allows presidents to protect waters, but it does not allow for that permission to be revoked. So if Trump wants to revoke it, he has to change the law. The Democrats will try to slow it down and the legal system in the US works well enough to allow such projects to be put on hold for some time. It probably is not going to stop Trump, but it will slow things down, which is good.

[–] [email protected] 23 points 6 days ago

“By executive order I’m allowing you to drill here” drilling starts
Company gets sued
Makes its way to SCOTUS
SCOTUS rules it’s okay based on the earlier case about presidential acts being legal while in office

This is a perfect test for that ruling to give it credibility and make it stand up.

[–] [email protected] 26 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Or he can ignore the law and suffer no consequences...

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago

Consequences! Hah! You’re joking right?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

By that logic Biden should make every single piece of water that touches the US protected and then force Trump to be the most pro environmental president ever! DO IT NOW BIDEN ADMINISTRATION!!!!!

[–] [email protected] 22 points 6 days ago

Permanently meaning ~1 week.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 6 days ago (1 children)

It'll just get restored by the next republican in office.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago (3 children)

It's not that simple; it will require either courts to invalidate part of a law, or congress to change the law

[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 days ago

Yeah, except that thanks to the sitouts he now has both.

[–] theonlytruescotsman 13 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Or the companies to do it anyway, and the president gives police protection to prevent any court officers from enacting any judgement against the company.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 days ago

Check out my comment here

It’s entirely possible that’s exactly what will happen.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Better to have done this than not to have done this... but the republicans have the supreme court and violently do not care about the rules. The mainstream media has also preemptively surrendered to this wave of fascism.

Given that context it feels very dangerous to engage in the fantasy thinking that these types of actions will pose more than a roadbump to fascists in power, not saying we shouldn't do them just I think we are all still stuck in some way or another in a mode of thinking where we want to believe we can win the game by playing by rules that our enemy was specifically elected to destroy because the general population is angry and desperate.

Buckle up :(